AeroVironment
AeroVironment's revenue rose 140.9% to $2.0 billion in fiscal 2026. Its operating margin was −15.7%, down from 5.0% a year earlier. Free cash flow was −$141 million. The diluted share count rose 74.2%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2017 to 2025, earnings per share grew 13.6% a year and net income 16.2% a year, as new shares raised the share count by 21% and diluted each share's earnings. AeroVironment then lost money in fiscal 2026.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value AeroVironment yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
What AeroVironment says to expect
- Fiscal 2027: revenue, earnings and EBITDA
For fiscal year 2027, the Company continues to expect revenue of between $2.125 billion and $2.225 billion, net income of between $10 million and $27 million, non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of between $305 million and $325 million, earnings per diluted share of between $0.21 and $0.53 and non-GAAP earnings per diluted share, which excludes amortization of intangible assets and other non-cash purchase accounting expenses, of between $3.02 and $3.34.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from AeroVironment's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
The example scenarios need a positive starting cash flow. AeroVironment's free cash flow was negative in fiscal 2026 and over the last three years, and so is cash from operations minus depreciation. You can still enter your own figures in the calculator.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $125.45
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
- —
- Everything after year 10, valued today
- —
- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
The P/E method needs positive earnings, and AeroVironment's latest diluted earnings per share were negative or zero.
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 102 | 133 | 73 | 41 | 632 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 190 | 135 | 28 | 30 | 748 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | 88 | 2 | −45 | −11 | 115 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.7x | — | −0.4x | −0.1x | — |
| Debt to equity | 0.3x | 0.2x | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.2x |
| Interest coverage | −2.0x | −17.5x | 10.5x | 23.2x | −12.8x |
| Current ratio | 3.6x | 3.9x | 3.6x | 3.5x | 4.3x |
| Quick ratio | 2.7x | 2.8x | 2.5x | 2.7x | 3.6x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, no insider bought AeroVironment shares on the open market, and 3 insiders sold $2.1 million, all of it under trading plans set up in advance.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Stephen F PageDirector | Sold plan | 250 | $152.27 | $38,068 | Form 4 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Brian Charles ShackleySVP, Chief Accounting Officer | Sold plan | 100 | $152.27 | $15,227 | Form 4 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Stephen F PageDirector | Sold plan | 250 | $191.98 | $47,995 | Form 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Brian Charles ShackleySVP, Chief Accounting Officer | Sold plan | 205 | $201.86 | $41,381 | Form 4 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Brian Charles ShackleySVP, Chief Accounting Officer | Sold plan | 300 | $143.00 | $42,900 | Form 4 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Stephen F PageDirector | Sold plan | 248 | $143.00 | $35,464 | Form 4 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Stephen F PageDirector | Sold plan | 250 | $174.41 | $43,602 | Form 4 |
| May 15, 2026 | Stephen F PageDirector | Sold plan | 250 | $162.31 | $40,578 | Form 4 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Stephen F PageDirector | Sold plan | 250 | $197.29 | $49,322 | Form 4 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Stephen F PageDirector | Sold plan | 250 | $212.52 | $53,130 | Form 4 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Brian Charles ShackleyChief Accounting Officer | Sold plan | 200 | $212.52 | $42,504 | Form 4 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Kevin Patrick McDonnellCFO | Sold plan | 396 | $224.55 | $88,922 | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Fail |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Fail | Fail |
| Return on assets rose | Pass | Fail | Fail |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Fail | Fail | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Pass | Pass | Fail |
| Current ratio rose | Fail | Fail | Pass |
| Share count didn't rise | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Gross margin rose | Pass | Fail | Fail |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Pass | Fail | Pass |
| F-score | 6 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 3 of 9 |
| Accruals ratio | 4.8% | 4.2% | −5.5% |
Compare
Put AeroVironment side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AeroVironment | FY26 | 140.9% | −15.7% | −7.1% | −9.1% | — | 3 | |
| Hexcel | FY25 | −0.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.1x | 6 | Compare |
| Axon Enterprise | FY25 | 33.5% | −2.2% | 2.7% | −2.2% | 4.9x | 6 | Compare |
| Kratos Defense & Security Solutions | FY25 | 18.5% | 1.9% | −10.2% | 1.2% | −6.3x | 4 | Compare |
| BWX Technologies | FY25 | 18.3% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 3.0x | 7 | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 229 | 271 | 314 | 367 | 395 | 446 | 540 | 717 | 821 | 1,977 |
| Revenue growth | −2.0% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 21.3% | 32.6% | 14.5% | 140.9% |
| Gross profit | 97 | 108 | 128 | 153 | 165 | 141 | 174 | 284 | 319 | 501 |
| Research and development | 28 | 26 | 34 | 46 | 54 | 55 | 64 | 98 | 101 | 128 |
| Operating income | 21 | 30 | 34 | 47 | 43 | −10 | −179 | 72 | 41 | −311 |
| Net income | 13 | 18 | 47 | 41 | 23 | −4 | −176 | 60 | 44 | −265 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | 0.56 | 0.75 | 1.97 | 1.71 | 0.96 | −0.17 | −7.04 | 2.18 | 1.55 | −5.40 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 23 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 49 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | −8 | 70 | 27 | 25 | 86 | −10 | 11 | 15 | −1 | −78 |
| Capital expenditure | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 15 | 23 | 20 | 62 |
| Free cash flow | −17 | 60 | 18 | 14 | 75 | −32 | −3 | −8 | −21 | −141 |
| Dividends paid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Share buybacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Acquisitions | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stock-based compensation | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 22 | 38 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 200 | 257 | 323 | 303 | 181 | 102 | 133 | 73 | 41 | 632 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | — | — | — | — | 200 | 190 | 135 | 28 | 30 | 748 |
| Total assets | 432 | 473 | 509 | 585 | 929 | 914 | 825 | 1,016 | 1,121 | 5,717 |
| Total liabilities | 49 | 64 | 46 | 75 | 316 | 306 | 274 | 193 | 234 | 1,316 |
| Shareholders' equity | 382 | 409 | 463 | 510 | 612 | 608 | 551 | 823 | 886 | 4,400 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | 42.3% | 39.7% | 40.9% | 41.7% | 41.7% | 31.7% | 32.1% | 39.6% | 38.8% | 25.3% |
| Operating margin | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | −2.2% | −33.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | −15.7% |
| Net margin | 5.7% | 6.5% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 5.9% | −0.9% | −32.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | −13.4% |
| Free cash flow margin | −7.5% | 22.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 19.1% | −7.2% | −0.6% | −1.1% | −2.5% | −7.1% |
| Return on capital | — | — | — | — | — | −1.2% | −22.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | −9.1% |
| Return on equity | 3.5% | 4.5% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 4.2% | −0.7% | −30.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% | −10.0% |
| Return on assets | 3.1% | 3.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | −0.5% | −20.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | −7.8% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | — | — | — | — | 0.3x | 1.7x | — | −0.4x | −0.1x | — |