Duke Energy
Duke Energy's revenue rose 5.6% to $31.7 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 27.2%, up from 26.4% a year earlier. Free cash flow was −$1.7 billion, against $48 million a year earlier. It paid out $3.3 billion in dividends and buybacks. The diluted share count rose 0.7%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
What Duke Energy does
Duke Energy is a utility holding company based in Charlotte, North Carolina. Through its subsidiaries it generates, transmits and sells electricity and delivers natural gas to homes, businesses and industrial customers in the United States. Its prices and returns are set largely by state and federal regulators.
It reports two business segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure. The electric segment serves about 8.7 million retail customers across six states in the Southeast and Midwest, in an area of about 90,000 square miles. It also sells electricity wholesale to municipalities and electric cooperatives. Its plants run mainly on natural gas, nuclear fuel and coal. Sales are highest in summer and winter, when weather drives demand.
In August 2025 Duke Energy agreed to take $6 billion from an affiliate of Brookfield in exchange for an eventual 19.7% indirect stake in Duke Energy Florida, to be completed in a series of closings. The 10-K says sales have grown with new homes and businesses, including data centers, while industrial sales have been soft.
Its biggest risks, as it describes them
- Changes in laws and regulation, and rate decisions that may not let it recover its costs.
- The cost and liabilities of owning and running nuclear generating plants.
- Higher costs or delays building new plants, with no assurance it can recover the investment.
- Severe weather and natural disasters that damage its systems and cut sales.
- Needing access to debt and equity markets, and having to keep an investment-grade credit rating.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2016 to 2025, earnings per share grew 8.2% a year and net income 9.7% a year, as new shares raised the share count by 12% and diluted each share's earnings.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value Duke Energy yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Duke Energy's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Duke Energy's cash from operations minus depreciation in fiscal 2025 (free cash flow before spending to grow: capital spending was 1.8 times depreciation, which holds its free cash flow down) of $4.6B, net cash of −$90.2B at December 31, 2025 and 777 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Duke Energy: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 3.4% a year; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 7% for a stable business (Electric Utilities); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target. A negative value means Duke Energy's net debt is larger than what that scenario's cash flows are worth today.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $124.44
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
- —
- Everything after year 10, valued today
- —
- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Duke Energy's earnings per share of $6.53 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 20.9×, the middle of Duke Energy's own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (the Utilities median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 8%, 7% and 6%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $124.44
- Value at this multiple, against the last close
- —
- Duke Energy's P/E at the last close
- 19.1×
| Company | Last close | Earnings per share | P/E today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constellation EnergyCEG | $252.48 | $10.26 | 24.6× |
| SouthernSO | $92.57 | $3.91 | 23.7× |
| American Electric PowerAEP | $129.22 | $6.77 | 19.1× |
| Duke EnergyDUK | $124.44 | $6.53 | 19.1× |
| ExelonEXC | $44.54 | $2.73 | 16.3× |
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 68.1 | 74.5 | 80.2 | 84.8 | 90.4 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | 67.7 | 74.1 | 79.9 | 84.5 | 90.2 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 6.1x | 6.2x | 6.1x | 5.9x | 5.5x |
| Debt to equity | 1.4x | 1.5x | 1.6x | 1.7x | 1.7x |
| Interest coverage | 2.5x | 2.5x | 2.4x | 2.3x | 2.4x |
| Current ratio | 0.6x | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.6x |
| Quick ratio | 0.6x | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.6x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, no insider bought Duke Energy shares on the open market, and 6 insiders sold $9.6 million, $4.7 million of it under trading plans set up in advance.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Louis E. RenjelEVP&CEO DEF&MW&ChiefCorpAffOff | Sold | 3,500 | $125.15 | $438,025 | Form 4 |
| May 8, 2026 | Harry K. SiderisPresident, CEO, Director | Sold | 20,000 | $124.37 | $2.5 million | Form 4 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Kodwo Ghartey-TagoeEVP&CEO DECarolinas&NatGasBus | Sold plan | 18,246 | $131.57 | $2.4 million | Form 4 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Regis T. RepkoSVP, System Planning&Construct | Sold plan | 663 | $131.00 | $86,853 | Form 4 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Regis T. RepkoSVP, System Planning&Construct | Sold plan | 962 | $127.86 | $123,001 | Form 4 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Brian D SavoyEVP & CFO | Sold plan | 12,000 | $127.69 | $1.5 million | Form 4 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Regis T. RepkoSVP, System Planning&Construct | Sold plan | 4,376 | $127.18 | $556,540 | Form 4 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Louis E. RenjelEVP&CEO DEF&MW&ChiefCorpAffOff | Sold | 6,800 | $127.67 | $868,156 | Form 4 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Robert Alexander GlennEVP & Chief Legal Officer | Sold | 8,200 | $123.80 | $1.0 million | Form 4 |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Louis E. RenjelEVP&CEO DEF&MW&ChiefCorpAffOff | Sold | 800 | $125.65 | $100,520 | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Current ratio rose | Pass | Fail | Fail |
| Share count didn't rise | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Gross margin rose | — | — | — |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Fail | Pass | Pass |
| F-score | 5 of 8 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 8 |
| Accruals ratio | −4.0% | −4.3% | −3.9% |
Compare
Put Duke Energy side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Energy | FY25 | 5.6% | 27.2% | −5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5x | 5 | |
| Southern | FY25 | 10.6% | 24.6% | −9.9% | 5.8% | 5.3x | 4 | Compare |
| Constellation Energy | FY25 | 8.3% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 0.9x | 5 | Compare |
| Exelon | FY25 | 5.3% | 21.2% | −9.4% | 5.7% | 5.6x | 5 | Compare |
| American Electric Power | FY25 | 10.9% | 24.3% | −6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6x | 7 | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 22.7 | 23.6 | 23.8 | 24.3 | 23.3 | 24.5 | 28.7 | 28.7 | 30.1 | 31.7 |
| Revenue growth | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 2.5% | −4.5% | 5.3% | 17.1% | −0.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% |
| Gross profit | 16.1 | 17.2 | 16.9 | 17.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Research and development | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | 5.2 | 5.6 | 4.7 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 7.1 | 7.9 | 8.6 |
| Net income | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 4.5 | 5.0 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | 3.11 | 4.36 | 3.76 | 5.06 | 1.72 | 4.94 | 3.17 | 3.54 | 5.71 | 6.31 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 691 | 700 | 708 | 729 | 738 | 769 | 770 | 771 | 772 | 777 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 6.9 | 6.6 | 7.2 | 8.2 | 8.9 | 8.3 | 5.9 | 9.9 | 12.3 | 12.3 |
| Capital expenditure | 7.9 | 8.1 | 9.4 | 11.1 | 9.9 | 9.7 | 11.4 | 12.6 | 12.3 | 14.0 |
| Free cash flow | −1.0 | −1.4 | −2.2 | −2.9 | −1.1 | −1.4 | −5.4 | −2.7 | 0.0 | −1.7 |
| Dividends paid | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| Share buybacks | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Acquisitions | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 50.4 | 54.4 | 57.9 | 62.2 | 63.6 | 68.1 | 74.5 | 80.2 | 84.8 | 90.4 |
| Total assets | 132.8 | 137.9 | 145.4 | 158.8 | 162.4 | 169.6 | 178.1 | 176.9 | 186.3 | 195.7 |
| Total liabilities | 91.7 | 96.2 | 101.6 | 110.9 | 113.2 | 118.5 | 126.2 | 126.7 | 135.1 | 142.7 |
| Shareholders' equity | 41.0 | 41.7 | 43.8 | 46.8 | 48.0 | 49.3 | 49.3 | 49.1 | 50.1 | 51.8 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | 70.9% | 73.0% | 71.2% | 72.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating margin | 22.9% | 23.9% | 19.7% | 23.4% | 19.7% | 22.5% | 21.0% | 24.7% | 26.4% | 27.2% |
| Net margin | 9.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 15.7% |
| Free cash flow margin | −4.6% | −6.1% | −9.3% | −12.0% | −4.5% | −5.8% | −19.0% | −9.5% | 0.2% | −5.3% |
| Return on capital | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% |
| Return on equity | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% |
| Return on assets | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 5.5x | 5.6x | 6.1x | 5.7x | 6.3x | 6.1x | 6.2x | 6.1x | 5.9x | 5.5x |