Molina Healthcare
Molina Healthcare's revenue rose 11.8% to $45.4 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 1.7%, down from 4.2% a year earlier. Free cash flow was −$636 million, against $544 million a year earlier. It paid out $1.0 billion in dividends and buybacks. The diluted share count fell 8.3%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on equity is net income as a share of shareholders' equity. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2016 to 2025, earnings per share grew 28.7% a year and net income 27.8% a year, as buybacks cut the share count by 6%.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value Molina Healthcare yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
What Molina Healthcare says to expect
- Full year 2026: premium revenue
Premium revenue guidance for the full year is unchanged at approximately $42 billion.
- Full year 2026: earnings per share
The Company expects its full year 2026 GAAP earnings to be at least $2.38 per diluted share and reaffirmed its full year 2026 adjusted earnings of at least $5.25 per diluted share.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Molina Healthcare's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Molina Healthcare's 3-year average free cash flow of $495M, net cash of $4.3B at December 31, 2025 and 53 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Molina Healthcare: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 12.4% a year; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 7% for a stable business (Managed Health Care); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $204.79
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
- —
- Everything after year 10, valued today
- —
- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
The P/E method needs positive earnings, and Molina Healthcare's latest diluted earnings per share were negative or zero.
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 7.6 | 7.5 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 8.3 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 4.0 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | −5.2 | −5.1 | −6.7 | −5.8 | −4.3 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | −4.5x | −3.8x | −3.8x | −3.1x | −4.4x |
| Debt to equity | 0.9x | 0.8x | 0.6x | 0.7x | 1.0x |
| Interest coverage | 8.5x | 10.7x | 14.4x | 14.5x | 4.1x |
| Current ratio | 1.4x | 1.5x | 1.5x | 1.6x | 1.7x |
| Quick ratio | 1.4x | 1.5x | 1.5x | 1.6x | 1.7x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, 1 insider bought $100,128 of Molina Healthcare shares on the open market, and 4 insiders sold $3.6 million.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Maurice HebertChief Accounting Officer | Sold | 600 | $191.55 | $114,930 | Form 4 |
| May 11, 2026 | Jeff D. BarlowChief Legal Officer | Sold | 17,811 | $186.12 | $3.3 million | Form 4 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Ronna RomneyDirector | Sold | 506 | $146.92 | $74,342 | Form 4 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Richard C ZoreticDirector | Bought | 800 | $125.16 | $100,128 | Form 4 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Richard M SchapiroDirector | Sold | 357 | $143.02 | $51,058 | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Fail |
| Return on assets rose | Pass | Fail | Fail |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Pass | Fail | Fail |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Pass | Fail | Fail |
| Current ratio rose | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Share count didn't rise | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Gross margin rose | — | — | — |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Pass | Fail | Pass |
| F-score | 8 of 8 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 8 |
| Accruals ratio | −4.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% |
Compare
Put Molina Healthcare side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molina Healthcare | FY25 | 11.8% | 1.7% | −1.4% | — | −4.4x | 4 | |
| Humana | FY25 | 10.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 25.7% | −2.2x | 5 | Compare |
| Oscar Health | FY25 | 27.5% | −3.4% | 9.1% | — | — | 4 | Compare |
| Centene | FY25 | 19.4% | −3.9% | 2.2% | −26.4% | — | 5 | Compare |
| Elevance Health | FY25 | 12.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 15.2% | −0.4x | 6 | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 17.8 | 19.9 | 18.9 | 16.8 | 19.4 | 27.8 | 32.0 | 34.1 | 40.6 | 45.4 |
| Revenue growth | 25.4% | 11.8% | −5.0% | −10.9% | 15.4% | 43.0% | 15.1% | 6.6% | 19.3% | 11.8% |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Research and development | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | 0.3 | −0.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Net income | 0.1 | −0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | 0.92 | −9.07 | 10.61 | 11.47 | 11.23 | 11.25 | 13.55 | 18.77 | 20.42 | 8.92 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 56 | 56 | 67 | 64 | 60 | 59 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 53 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 0.7 | 0.8 | −0.3 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | −0.5 |
| Capital expenditure | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Free cash flow | 0.5 | 0.7 | −0.3 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | −0.6 |
| Dividends paid | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Share buybacks | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Acquisitions | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 4.6 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 6.0 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 8.3 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 4.0 |
| Total assets | 7.4 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 9.5 | 12.2 | 12.3 | 14.9 | 15.6 | 15.6 |
| Total liabilities | 5.8 | 7.1 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 7.4 | 9.6 | 9.3 | 10.7 | 11.1 | 11.5 |
| Shareholders' equity | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating margin | 1.7% | −2.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Net margin | 0.3% | −2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Free cash flow margin | 2.8% | 3.6% | −1.8% | 2.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% | −1.4% |
| Return on capital | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Return on equity | 3.2% | −34.3% | 47.4% | 40.9% | 33.2% | 27.9% | 28.3% | 30.4% | 27.1% | 11.0% |
| Return on assets | 0.7% | −6.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | −6.4x | — | −2.4x | −2.6x | −3.1x | −4.5x | −3.8x | −3.8x | −3.1x | −4.4x |