Vistra

VST · NYSE · Utilities · Financials, fiscal 2017 to 2025

VST · Last close · October 26, 2026

$141.73

Vistra's revenue rose 3.0% to $17.7 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 10.8%, down from 23.7% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $1.3 billion, down 47.0%. It paid out $1.3 billion in dividends and buybacks, 101% of free cash flow. The diluted share count fell 2.0%.

Vistra Operations Company LLC Latest fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 10-K filed February 27, 2026 · 0001692819-26-000006 Updated October 9, 2026

Revenue

$17.7B

3.0%

Operating margin

10.8%

12.9 pts

Net income

$944M

64.5%

Free cash flow

$1.3B

47.0%

Return on capital

7.2%

10.5 pts

Market cap

$48.1B

Oct 26 close

P/E

23.9x

On $5.92 EPS, 4 qtrs

Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.

About these figures. Vistra's 2025 filing doesn't tag its inventories in the SEC's structured data, so inventory and the quick ratio are blank for 2025.

Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.

Revenue and margins

Revenue

US$ billions, fiscal years

Margins

Percent of revenue

GrossOperatingNetFree cash flow

Net income and earnings per share

From fiscal 2019 to 2025, earnings per share grew 2.7% a year and net income 0.3% a year, as buybacks cut the share count by 31%.

Net income

US$ billions, fiscal years; loss years in red.

Diluted earnings per share

US$ per share, fiscal years, restated for any stock splits; loss years in red.

Returns on capital

Return on capital and on equity

Percent. Return on capital is after-tax operating income over the money invested in the business (debt plus equity, minus cash); return on equity is net income over shareholders' equity. Both use the average of opening and closing balances.

Return on capitalReturn on equity

Cash flow

Free cash flow

US$ billions. Cash from operations minus capital expenditure; negative years in red.

Payouts and share count

Dividends and buybacks

US$ billions, cash paid in each fiscal year

DividendsShare buybacks

Diluted share count

Weighted-average diluted shares, millions

Valuation

Two ways to value Vistra yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.

Discounted cash flow (DCF)

A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Vistra's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.

Value per share on three example scenarios, from Vistra's fiscal 2025 free cash flow of $1.3B, net cash of −$18.3B at December 31, 2025 and 346 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Vistra: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 8.9% a year; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 8%: 7% for a stable business (Electric Utilities), plus 1 point for unsteady results (a loss in fiscal 2022); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.

From the filings

Starting free cash flow, US$ millions

Cash from operations minus capital spending in fiscal 2025.

Net cash, US$ millions

Cash and short-term investments minus debt and finance leases at December 31, 2025. Negative means net debt.

Diluted shares, millions

Weighted-average diluted shares in fiscal 2025.

Your assumptions

Start from

Fitted to Vistra's own revenue growth, as above. Cautious: growth of 4.5% then 3% a year, 2% after year 10, a 9% discount rate. Base: growth of 9% then 6% a year, 2.5% after year 10, a 8% discount rate. Optimistic: growth of 13.5% then 8% a year, 3% after year 10, a 7% discount rate.

Free cash flow growth, years 1 to 5 (% a year)

Free cash flow growth, years 6 to 10 (% a year)

Growth after year 10 (% a year)Long-run growth forever after year 10. Usually close to inflation, and always below the discount rate.

Discount rate (% a year)The yearly return an investor wants for the risk. A higher rate gives a lower value.

Value per share on these assumptions

—

Last close, October 26, 2026: $141.73
Value on these assumptions, against the last close: —

Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today: —
Everything after year 10, valued today: —
Plus net cash: —
Share of value from after year 10: —

Projected free cash flow

US$ billions. Each column is one year's projected free cash flow, split into what it is worth today and the part removed by discounting.

Value todayRemoved by discounting

How the value changes with two assumptions

Value per share in US$, with the growth rates above. The highlighted cell matches the current assumptions.

How the model works. Free cash flow grows at the first rate for five years and the second rate for five more, and each year is discounted at the discount rate. Everything after year 10 is valued as year-10 cash flow × (1 + growth after year 10) ÷ (discount rate − growth after year 10), discounted back ten years. Net cash is added and the total is divided by diluted shares. The result depends entirely on the assumptions. It is not a forecast, a price target or a recommendation. The last close is the consolidated US closing price, from Databento.

Price-to-earnings (P/E) method

Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.

Value per share on three example scenarios, from Vistra's earnings per share of $5.92 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 20.6×, the middle of Vistra's own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (the Utilities median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 9%, 8% and 7%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.

Earnings per share, US$

Diluted earnings per share over the four quarters to June 30, 2026, from the 10-Qs and 10-K.

P/E multiple

P/E today is the last close divided by the latest earnings per share, the four quarters' where available. Peers: Edison International, FirstEnergy, American Electric Power, Eversource Energy.

Earnings growth in the years ahead (% a year) Starts at Vistra's revenue growth over the last 3 years, 8.9% a year, as the base scenario does.

Earnings per share in the years ahead, US$

Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5

Type your own estimate for any year; the years after it carry on at the growth rate.

Apply the multiple to earnings

A multiple on a future year's earnings gives the price then, brought back to today at the discount rate below.

Discount rate (% a year) The yearly return an investor wants for the risk, as in the cash flow model.

Value per share today at this multiple

—

Last close, October 26, 2026: $141.73
Value at this multiple, against the last close: —
Vistra's P/E at the last close: 23.9×

Company	Last close	Earnings per share	P/E today
FirstEnergyFE	$46.18	$1.83	25.2×
VistraVST	$141.73	$5.92	23.9×
American Electric PowerAEP	$129.22	$6.77	19.1×
Eversource EnergyES	$67.55	$3.86	17.5×
Edison InternationalEIX	$57.78	$9.21	6.3×

How the P/E method works. Value per share is earnings per share times the multiple. On a future year's earnings, that gives the price in that year, which is brought back to today at the discount rate: price ÷ (1 + discount rate) for each year ahead. It is quick and easy to compare across companies, but it ignores debt and cash, and earnings can swing with one-off gains and charges, so a multiple says most about steady, profitable businesses. Like the cash flow model, the result depends entirely on the assumptions you choose. It is not a forecast, a price target or a recommendation.

Balance sheet

Fiscal year end	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25
Cash and short-term investments	1,325	455	3,485	1,188	785
Debt incl. finance leases	10,731	12,621	14,638	16,525	19,065
Net debt (negative means net cash)	9,406	12,166	11,153	15,337	18,280
Net debt to EBITDA	39.5x	29.0x	2.7x	2.6x	4.7x
Debt to equity	1.3x	2.6x	2.8x	3.0x	3.7x
Interest coverage	−4.0x	−3.2x	3.6x	4.5x	1.6x
Current ratio	1.4x	1.1x	1.2x	1.0x	0.8x
Quick ratio	1.2x	1.0x	1.1x	0.8x	—

US$ millions unless stated, at each fiscal year end. Net debt to EBITDA is debt minus cash, divided by operating income before depreciation and amortization: roughly how many years of those earnings the net debt equals. Debt to equity is debt as a multiple of shareholders' equity. Interest coverage is operating income divided by interest expense. The current ratio is current assets over current liabilities; the quick ratio leaves out inventory.

Insider trades

Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, 1 insider bought $1.2 million of Vistra shares on the open market, and 10 insiders sold $62.3 million, $39.6 million of it under trading plans set up in advance.

Date	Insider	Trade	Shares	Price	Value	Filing
Oct 7, 2026	Kristopher E. MoldovanEVP and CFO	Sold plan	20,000	$165.00	$3.3 million	Form 4
Oct 6, 2026	Scott A HudsonEVP & President Vistra Retail	Sold plan	22,222	$160.14	$3.6 million	Form 4
Sep 8, 2026	Scott A HudsonEVP & President Vistra Retail	Sold plan	44,444	$151.82	$6.7 million	Form 4
Sep 8, 2026	Kristopher E. MoldovanEVP and CFO	Sold plan	20,000	$151.03	$3.0 million	Form 4
Sep 1, 2026	James A BurkePresident and CEO, Director	Bought	4,465	$135.25	$603,891	Form 4
Aug 31, 2026	James A BurkePresident and CEO, Director	Bought	2,200	$135.99	$299,178	Form 4
Aug 24, 2026	James A BurkePresident and CEO, Director	Bought	2,000	$135.00	$270,000	Form 4
Jun 18, 2026	Arcilia AcostaDirector	Sold plan	15,000	$167.52	$2.5 million	Form 4
Jun 18, 2026	John R SultDirector	Sold plan	6,500	$170.00	$1.1 million	Form 4
Jun 16, 2026	Scott B HelmDirector	Sold plan	25,000	$160.00	$4.0 million	Form 4
Jun 15, 2026	Paul M BarbasDirector	Sold plan	244	$153.00	$37,332	Form 4
Jun 12, 2026	Paul M BarbasDirector	Sold plan	244	$147.93	$36,095	Form 4

The latest 12 of 22 trades. Open-market purchases and sales by officers, directors and 10% owners, from their Form 4 filings with the SEC: one row per person, day and filing, at the day's average price. Grants, option exercises and shares withheld for tax aren't counted. Insiders buy and sell for many reasons, such as taxes, spreading their savings or a plan set up months earlier, so a trade on its own says little about where a company is heading. For information only, not investment advice. Insider trades at all companies

Piotroski F-score

The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.

Test	FY23	FY24	FY25
Net income is positive	Pass	Pass	Pass
Cash from operations is positive	Pass	Pass	Pass
Return on assets rose	Pass	Pass	Fail
Cash from operations exceeds net income	Pass	Pass	Pass
Debt fell relative to assets	Fail	Fail	Fail
Current ratio rose	Pass	Fail	Fail
Share count didn't rise	Pass	Pass	Pass
Gross margin rose	—	—	—
Revenue rose relative to assets	Fail	Pass	Fail
F-score	6 of 8	6 of 8	4 of 8
Accruals ratio	−12.1%	−5.4%	−7.9%

The accruals ratio is net income minus cash from operations, over average total assets.

Compare

Put Vistra side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.

Similar companies

Company	Year	Revenue growth	Operating margin	Free cash flow margin	Return on capital	Net debt to EBITDA	F-score	Compare
Vistra	FY25	3.0%	10.8%	7.4%	7.2%	4.7x	4
Edison International	FY25	9.8%	36.7%	−3.7%	9.8%	3.9x	6	Compare
FirstEnergy	FY25	12.0%	14.6%	−6.7%	4.6%	6.8x	5	Compare
American Electric Power	FY25	10.9%	24.3%	−6.9%	6.7%	5.6x	7	Compare
Eversource Energy	FY25	13.8%	22.1%	−0.3%	6.4%	5.2x	6	Compare

Each company's latest fiscal year. Fiscal years end in different months, so the periods don't line up exactly. Free cash flow margin is free cash flow as a share of revenue. Net debt to EBITDA is explained under the balance sheet, and the F-score above.

9 years of figures

Fiscal year	FY17	FY18	FY19	FY20	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25
Income statement
Revenue	5,430	9,144	11,809	11,443	12,077	13,728	14,779	17,224	17,738
Revenue growth	—	68.4%	29.1%	−3.1%	5.5%	13.7%	7.7%	16.5%	3.0%
Gross profit	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Research and development	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Operating income	198	491	1,993	1,519	−1,515	−1,177	2,661	4,081	1,906
Net income	−254	−54	928	636	−1,274	−1,227	1,493	2,659	944
Diluted EPS (US$)	−0.59	−0.11	1.86	1.30	−2.69	−3.26	3.58	7.00	2.18
Diluted shares (millions)	428	505	500	491	482	422	375	353	346
Cash flow
Cash from operations	1,386	1,471	2,736	3,337	−206	485	5,453	4,563	4,070
Capital expenditure	114	530	713	1,259	1,033	1,301	1,676	2,078	2,752
Free cash flow	1,272	941	2,023	2,078	−1,239	−816	3,777	2,485	1,318
Dividends paid	0	0	243	266	290	302	313	305	306
Share buybacks	0	763	656	0	471	1,949	1,245	1,266	1,028
Acquisitions	0	0	374	0	0	0	0	3,065	0
Stock-based compensation	0	73	47	65	47	63	77	100	113
Balance sheet at fiscal year end
Cash and short-term investments	1,487	636	300	406	1,325	455	3,485	1,188	785
Debt incl. finance leases	4,423	11,065	10,729	9,330	10,731	12,621	14,638	16,525	19,065
Total assets	14,600	26,024	26,616	25,208	29,683	32,787	32,966	37,770	41,550
Total liabilities	8,258	18,157	18,656	16,847	21,391	27,869	27,644	32,187	36,440
Shareholders' equity	6,342	7,863	7,959	8,371	8,291	4,902	5,307	5,570	5,097
Margins and ratios
Gross margin	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Operating margin	3.6%	5.4%	16.9%	13.3%	−12.5%	−8.6%	18.0%	23.7%	10.8%
Net margin	−4.7%	−0.6%	7.9%	5.6%	−10.6%	−8.9%	10.1%	15.4%	5.3%
Free cash flow margin	23.4%	10.3%	17.1%	18.2%	−10.3%	−5.9%	25.6%	14.4%	7.4%
Return on capital	—	2.8%	8.3%	6.0%	−6.8%	−5.3%	11.8%	17.7%	7.2%
Return on equity	—	−0.8%	11.7%	7.8%	−15.3%	−18.6%	29.2%	48.9%	17.7%
Return on assets	—	−0.3%	3.5%	2.5%	−4.6%	−3.9%	4.5%	7.5%	2.4%
Net debt to EBITDA	3.3x	5.5x	2.9x	2.7x	39.5x	29.0x	2.7x	2.6x	4.7x

US$ millions unless stated. Where a later 10-K restated a year, the latest filed figure is shown. Download all figures (CSV, US$ millions)

Source: Vistra's Form 10-K filings, from SEC EDGAR. For information only, not investment advice. The Filing Desk is not affiliated with Vistra.