Dollar Tree

DLTR · Nasdaq · Consumer Staples · Financials, fiscal 2016 to 2025

DLTR · Last close · October 26, 2026

$124.92

Dollar Tree's revenue rose 10.4% to $19.4 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 8.5%, up from 8.3% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $1.1 billion, up 18.4%. It paid out $1.5 billion in dividends and buybacks, 146% of free cash flow. The diluted share count fell 4.5%.

DOLLAR TREE, INC. Latest fiscal year ended January 31, 2026 10-K filed March 16, 2026 · 0000935703-26-000025 Updated October 9, 2026

Revenue

$19.4B

10.4%

Operating margin

8.5%

0.2 pts

Net income

$1.3B

Free cash flow

$1.1B

18.4%

Return on capital

21.4%

8.0 pts

Market cap

$23.8B

Oct 26 close

P/E

15.3x

On $8.16 EPS, 4 qtrs

Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.

About these figures. Dollar Tree's figures from fiscal 2022 are as restated after it agreed to sell Family Dollar and cover Dollar Tree stores only; earlier years include Family Dollar, so the change from fiscal 2021 to 2022 compares different businesses.

What Dollar Tree does

Dollar Tree runs discount variety stores under the names Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada. At the end of January 2026 it operated stores in 48 states and the District of Columbia and across seven Canadian provinces. It sells everyday items, seasonal goods and party and celebration products at low prices.

The company earns money by selling merchandise to shoppers in its stores. It says the mix of convenience, value and a changing selection that customers can discover every week keeps them coming back. It competes with other retailers for the same shoppers.

In July 2025 Dollar Tree completed the sale of its Family Dollar business to an outside buyer, and Family Dollar is reported as discontinued operations. Dollar Tree is now a single banner. Its plans include a wider product assortment, new store growth, better store conditions and a more connected in-store experience for customers.

Its biggest risks, as it describes them

Rising costs for merchandise, freight, fuel and wages.
Problems with merchandise supply or its supply chain.
Not growing sales in existing stores or opening new stores profitably.
Competition from other retailers and shifts in what shoppers want to buy.
Not getting the expected benefits from the sale of Family Dollar.

From Dollar Tree's annual report on Form 10-K, filed March 16, 2026, in our words; the 10-K has the full description and every risk factor. Updated with each new 10-K.

Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.

Revenue and margins

Revenue

US$ billions, fiscal years

Margins

Percent of revenue

GrossOperatingNetFree cash flow

Net income and earnings per share

From fiscal 2016 to 2025, earnings per share grew 5.7% a year and net income 4.1% a year, as buybacks cut the share count by 13%.

Net income

US$ billions, fiscal years; loss years in red.

Diluted earnings per share

US$ per share, fiscal years, restated for any stock splits; loss years in red.

Returns on capital

Return on capital and on equity

Percent. Return on capital is after-tax operating income over the money invested in the business (debt plus equity, minus cash); return on equity is net income over shareholders' equity. Both use the average of opening and closing balances.

Return on capitalReturn on equity

Cash flow

Free cash flow

US$ billions. Cash from operations minus capital expenditure; negative years in red.

Payouts and share count

Dividends and buybacks

US$ billions, cash paid in each fiscal year

DividendsShare buybacks

Diluted share count

Weighted-average diluted shares, millions

Valuation

Two ways to value Dollar Tree yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.

What Dollar Tree says to expect

Third quarter fiscal 2026: diluted earnings per shareThird quarter diluted EPS is currently expected to be in the range of $0.80 to $0.95 including an approximate $0.50 impact related to tariff refund reinvestments

The company's own words, from its earnings release (Form 8-K, Exhibit 99), filed August 27, 2026. They are its expectations, not ours, and not a forecast or price target from The Filing Desk. Replaced when the next release is out.

Discounted cash flow (DCF)

A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Dollar Tree's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.

Value per share on three example scenarios, from Dollar Tree's cash from operations minus depreciation in fiscal 2025 (free cash flow before spending to grow: capital spending was 1.7 times depreciation, which holds its free cash flow down) of $1.5B, net cash of −$1.7B at January 31, 2026 and 206 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Dollar Tree: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 8.0% a year; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 8%: 7% for a stable business (Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail), plus 1 point for unsteady results (a loss in fiscal 2024); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.

From the filings

Starting free cash flow, US$ millions

Cash from operations minus depreciation in fiscal 2025: a rough guide to cash flow before spending to grow, for a company building heavily.

Net cash, US$ millions

Cash and short-term investments minus debt and finance leases at January 31, 2026. Negative means net debt.

Diluted shares, millions

Weighted-average diluted shares in fiscal 2025.

Your assumptions

Start from

Fitted to Dollar Tree's own revenue growth, as above. Cautious: growth of 4% then 3% a year, 2% after year 10, a 9% discount rate. Base: growth of 8% then 5% a year, 2.5% after year 10, a 8% discount rate. Optimistic: growth of 12% then 7.5% a year, 3% after year 10, a 7% discount rate.

Free cash flow growth, years 1 to 5 (% a year)

Free cash flow growth, years 6 to 10 (% a year)

Growth after year 10 (% a year)Long-run growth forever after year 10. Usually close to inflation, and always below the discount rate.

Discount rate (% a year)The yearly return an investor wants for the risk. A higher rate gives a lower value.

Value per share on these assumptions

—

Last close, October 26, 2026: $124.92
Value on these assumptions, against the last close: —

Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today: —
Everything after year 10, valued today: —
Plus net cash: —
Share of value from after year 10: —

Projected free cash flow

US$ billions. Each column is one year's projected free cash flow, split into what it is worth today and the part removed by discounting.

Value todayRemoved by discounting

How the value changes with two assumptions

Value per share in US$, with the growth rates above. The highlighted cell matches the current assumptions.

How the model works. Free cash flow grows at the first rate for five years and the second rate for five more, and each year is discounted at the discount rate. Everything after year 10 is valued as year-10 cash flow × (1 + growth after year 10) ÷ (discount rate − growth after year 10), discounted back ten years. Net cash is added and the total is divided by diluted shares. The result depends entirely on the assumptions. It is not a forecast, a price target or a recommendation. The last close is the consolidated US closing price, from Databento.

Price-to-earnings (P/E) method

Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.

Value per share on three example scenarios, from Dollar Tree's earnings per share of $8.16 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 20×, the middle of Dollar Tree's own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (its peers' median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 9%, 8% and 7%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.

Earnings per share, US$

Diluted earnings per share over the four quarters to August 1, 2026, from the 10-Qs and 10-K.

P/E multiple

P/E today is the last close divided by the latest earnings per share, the four quarters' where available. Peers: BJ's Wholesale Club, Dollar General, PriceSmart, Target.

Earnings growth in the years ahead (% a year) Starts at Dollar Tree's revenue growth over the last 3 years, 8.0% a year, as the base scenario does.

Earnings per share in the years ahead, US$

Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5

Type your own estimate for any year; the years after it carry on at the growth rate.

Apply the multiple to earnings

A multiple on a future year's earnings gives the price then, brought back to today at the discount rate below.

Discount rate (% a year) The yearly return an investor wants for the risk, as in the cash flow model.

Value per share today at this multiple

—

Last close, October 26, 2026: $124.92
Value at this multiple, against the last close: —
Dollar Tree's P/E at the last close: 15.3×

Company	Last close	Earnings per share	P/E today
PriceSmartPSMT	$173.11	$5.40	32.1×
BJ's Wholesale ClubBJ	$106.36	$4.57	23.3×
Dollar GeneralDG	$128.42	$7.69	16.7×
TargetTGT	$148.53	$9.62	15.4×
Dollar TreeDLTR	$124.92	$8.16	15.3×

How the P/E method works. Value per share is earnings per share times the multiple. On a future year's earnings, that gives the price in that year, which is brought back to today at the discount rate: price ÷ (1 + discount rate) for each year ahead. It is quick and easy to compare across companies, but it ignores debt and cash, and earnings can swing with one-off gains and charges, so a multiple says most about steady, profitable businesses. Like the cash flow model, the result depends entirely on the assumptions you choose. It is not a forecast, a price target or a recommendation.

Balance sheet

Fiscal year end	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25
Cash and short-term investments	1.0	0.6	0.4	1.3	0.7
Debt incl. finance leases	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	2.4
Net debt (negative means net cash)	2.4	2.8	3.0	2.2	1.7
Net debt to EBITDA	1.0x	1.1x	1.4x	1.1x	0.7x
Debt to equity	0.4x	0.4x	0.5x	0.9x	0.7x
Interest coverage	10.3x	15.9x	13.5x	11.0x	13.2x
Current ratio	1.3x	1.5x	1.3x	1.1x	1.1x
Quick ratio	1.3x	1.5x	1.3x	1.1x	1.1x

US$ billions unless stated, at each fiscal year end. Net debt to EBITDA is debt minus cash, divided by operating income before depreciation and amortization: roughly how many years of those earnings the net debt equals. Debt to equity is debt as a multiple of shareholders' equity. Interest coverage is operating income divided by interest expense. The current ratio is current assets over current liabilities; the quick ratio leaves out inventory.

Insider trades

Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, no insider bought Dollar Tree shares on the open market, and 4 insiders sold $249.0 million.

Date	Insider	Trade	Shares	Price	Value	Filing
Sep 4, 2026	Stephanie StahlDirector	Sold	1,185	$131.47	$155,792	Form 4
Aug 31, 2026	Robert AflatooniChief Information Officer	Sold	2,500	$126.01	$315,025	Form 4
Jun 24, 2026	Paul C HilalDirector	Sold	2,230,455	$111.31	$248.3 million	Form 4
Jan 7, 2026	Robert AflatooniChief Information Officer	Sold	175	$131.18	$22,956	Form 4
Dec 8, 2025	Brent A. BeebeChief Merchandising Officer	Sold	2,200	$124.65	$274,230	Form 4

Open-market purchases and sales by officers, directors and 10% owners, from their Form 4 filings with the SEC: one row per person, day and filing, at the day's average price. Grants, option exercises and shares withheld for tax aren't counted. Insiders buy and sell for many reasons, such as taxes, spreading their savings or a plan set up months earlier, so a trade on its own says little about where a company is heading. For information only, not investment advice. Insider trades at all companies

Piotroski F-score

The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.

Test	FY23	FY24	FY25
Net income is positive	Fail	Fail	Pass
Cash from operations is positive	Pass	Pass	Pass
Return on assets rose	Fail	Fail	Pass
Cash from operations exceeds net income	Pass	Pass	Pass
Debt fell relative to assets	Pass	Fail	Pass
Current ratio rose	Fail	Fail	Pass
Share count didn't rise	Pass	Pass	Pass
Gross margin rose	Fail	Fail	Pass
Revenue rose relative to assets	Pass	Pass	Pass
F-score	5 of 9	4 of 9	9 of 9
Accruals ratio	−16.4%	−25.7%	−5.7%

The accruals ratio is net income minus cash from operations, over average total assets.

Compare

Put Dollar Tree side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.

Similar companies

Company	Year	Revenue growth	Operating margin	Free cash flow margin	Return on capital	Net debt to EBITDA	F-score	Compare
Dollar Tree	FY25	10.4%	8.5%	5.4%	21.4%	0.7x	9
BJ's Wholesale Club	FY25	4.7%	3.8%	1.5%	23.7%	0.5x	8	Compare
Dollar General	FY25	5.2%	5.2%	5.6%	13.8%	1.1x	7	Compare
PriceSmart	FY26	11.5%	4.4%	1.6%	15.6%	−0.4x	6	Compare
Target	FY25	−1.7%	4.9%	2.7%	15.0%	1.3x	6	Compare

Each company's latest fiscal year. Fiscal years end in different months, so the periods don't line up exactly. Free cash flow margin is free cash flow as a share of revenue. Net debt to EBITDA is explained under the balance sheet, and the F-score above.

10 years of figures

Fiscal year	FY16	FY17	FY18	FY19	FY20	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25
Income statement
Revenue	20.7	22.2	22.8	23.6	25.5	26.3	15.4	16.8	17.6	19.4
Revenue growth	33.7%	7.4%	2.6%	3.5%	8.0%	3.2%	−41.5%	8.9%	4.8%	10.4%
Gross profit	6.4	7.0	6.9	7.0	7.8	7.7	5.8	6.0	6.3	7.1
Research and development	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Operating income	1.7	2.0	−0.9	1.3	1.9	1.8	2.1	1.8	1.5	1.7
Net income	0.9	1.7	−1.6	0.8	1.3	1.3	1.6	−1.0	−3.0	1.3
Diluted EPS (US$)	3.78	7.21	−6.69	3.47	5.65	5.80	7.21	−4.54	−14.03	6.22
Diluted shares (millions)	237	238	238	238	237	229	224	220	216	206
Cash flow
Cash from operations	1.7	1.5	1.8	1.9	2.7	1.4	1.6	2.7	2.2	2.2
Capital expenditure	0.6	0.6	0.8	1.0	0.9	1.0	0.6	1.2	1.3	1.1
Free cash flow	1.1	0.9	0.9	0.8	1.8	0.4	1.0	1.5	0.9	1.1
Dividends paid	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Share buybacks	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.9	0.6	0.5	0.4	1.5
Acquisitions	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Stock-based compensation	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
Balance sheet at fiscal year end
Cash and short-term investments	0.9	1.1	0.4	0.5	1.4	1.0	0.6	0.4	1.3	0.7
Debt incl. finance leases	6.4	5.7	4.3	3.8	3.2	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	2.4
Total assets	15.7	16.3	13.5	19.6	20.7	21.7	23.0	22.0	18.6	13.5
Total liabilities	10.3	9.2	7.9	13.3	13.4	14.0	14.3	14.7	14.7	9.7
Shareholders' equity	5.4	7.2	5.6	6.3	7.3	7.7	8.8	7.3	4.0	3.8
Margins and ratios
Gross margin	30.9%	31.6%	30.4%	29.8%	30.5%	29.4%	37.5%	35.8%	35.7%	36.3%
Operating margin	8.2%	9.0%	−4.1%	5.3%	7.4%	6.9%	13.6%	10.6%	8.3%	8.5%
Net margin	4.3%	7.7%	−7.0%	3.5%	5.3%	5.0%	10.5%	−6.0%	−17.2%	6.6%
Free cash flow margin	5.3%	4.0%	4.2%	3.5%	7.1%	1.6%	6.3%	8.9%	5.1%	5.4%
Return on capital	10.4%	17.6%	−7.0%	10.0%	15.7%	15.3%	14.7%	12.4%	13.4%	21.4%
Return on equity	18.3%	27.3%	−24.8%	13.9%	19.8%	17.7%	19.6%	−12.4%	−53.7%	33.2%
Return on assets	5.7%	10.7%	−10.7%	5.0%	6.7%	6.3%	7.2%	−4.4%	−14.9%	8.0%
Net debt to EBITDA	2.4x	1.8x	—	1.7x	0.7x	1.0x	1.1x	1.4x	1.1x	0.7x

US$ billions unless stated. Where a later 10-K restated a year, the latest filed figure is shown. Download all figures (CSV, US$ millions)

Source: Dollar Tree's Form 10-K filings, from SEC EDGAR. For information only, not investment advice. The Filing Desk is not affiliated with Dollar Tree.