First Watch Restaurant Group
First Watch Restaurant Group's revenue rose 20.3% to $1.2 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 2.2%, down from 3.8% a year earlier. Free cash flow was −$31 million. The diluted share count rose 0.8%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
What First Watch Restaurant Group does
First Watch runs restaurants that serve made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch, and it calls this Daytime Dining. Its restaurants do not serve dinner. It uses no microwave ovens, heat lamps or deep fryers, and its menu changes four to five times a year with the seasons. It also sells fresh juices.
It makes money from sales at its company-owned restaurants and from franchisees, who own and run others under its name. At the end of 2025 it had 633 restaurants in 32 states, 560 of them company-owned and 73 franchised. Its average restaurant took in $2.3 million in 2025, while open only 7.5 hours a day.
Each restaurant has a staff of about 30 team members led by general managers. The company says its focus on one daytime shift helps it hire employees who want to avoid night work. Most of its restaurants are in the southeastern part of the United States.
Its biggest risks, as it describes them
- Changes in the economy and in what diners prefer to eat.
- Not opening new restaurants on schedule or profitably, which its growth plan depends on.
- Higher food costs and reliance on a limited number of suppliers and distributors.
- Franchisees whose results and conduct it has limited control over.
- Food safety problems and bad publicity that could hurt its reputation.
Income statement
From fiscal 2022 to 2025, earnings per share grew 41.3% a year and net income 41.1% a year, as new shares raised the share count by 4% and diluted each share's earnings.
Returns on capital
Balance sheet
Five years at a glance
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 52 | 50 | 50 | 33 | 21 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 103 | 101 | 125 | 198 | 282 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | 51 | 51 | 76 | 165 | 261 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 0.9x | 1.0x | 0.9x | 1.7x | 2.5x |
| Debt to equity | 0.2x | 0.2x | 0.2x | 0.3x | 0.5x |
| Interest coverage | 1.1x | 3.2x | 5.1x | 3.1x | 1.6x |
| Current ratio | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.6x | 0.4x | 0.3x |
| Quick ratio | 0.7x | 0.6x | 0.6x | 0.4x | 0.2x |
Cash flow
Projections
Project First Watch Restaurant Group's revenue, net income and earnings per share five years ahead in a bull, a base and a bear case with your own figures, and see the share prices your P/E estimates give them, or value it with a discounted cash flow model. Every projected figure is yours: it is not a forecast of ours.
What First Watch Restaurant Group says to expect
- Fiscal 2026: capital expenditures
Capital expenditures of ~$145.0 million invested primarily in new restaurant projects and planned remodels (3)
Insider trades
No officer, director or 10% owner of First Watch Restaurant Group reported buying or selling its shares on the open market between November 7, 2025 and November 6, 2026.
Indicators
Four widely used measures, worked out from the company's filings. The cutoffs are the ones their authors or users go by, not a verdict of ours.
| Indicator | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-score | 5 of 8 | 3 of 8 | 4 of 8 |
| Rule of 40 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 17.8% |
| Altman Z'' | 0.64 | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| Accruals ratio | −5.9% | −7.0% | −6.5% |
The nine F-score tests
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Pass | Fail | Fail |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Current ratio rose | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Share count didn't rise | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Gross margin rose | — | — | — |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Pass | Fail | Pass |
| F-score | 5 of 8 | 3 of 8 | 4 of 8 |
Compare
Put First Watch Restaurant Group side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Watch Restaurant Group | FY25 | 20.3% | 2.2% | −2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5x | 4 | |
| Cava Group | FY25 | 22.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 13.9% | −3.0x | 4 | Compare |
| BJ's Restaurants | FY25 | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 11.1% | 0.5x | 7 | Compare |
| Shake Shack | FY25 | 15.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 9.6% | −0.6x | 7 | Compare |
| Jack in the Box | FY25 | −6.8% | −1.2% | 5.1% | −1.8% | 41.1x | 5 | Compare |
7 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||
| Revenue | 436 | 342 | 601 | 730 | 892 | 1,016 | 1,222 |
| Revenue growth | — | −21.5% | 75.6% | 21.4% | 22.1% | 13.9% | 20.3% |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Research and development | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | −38 | −47 | 22 | 17 | 41 | 39 | 28 |
| Net income | −45 | −50 | −2 | 7 | 25 | 19 | 19 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | −1.01 | −1.10 | −0.04 | 0.11 | 0.41 | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 45 | 45 | 48 | 60 | 61 | 62 | 63 |
| Cash flow | |||||||
| Cash from operations | 22 | −18 | 63 | 63 | 95 | 116 | 126 |
| Capital expenditure | 59 | 27 | 35 | 62 | 83 | 128 | 157 |
| Free cash flow | −38 | −45 | 28 | 1 | 12 | −12 | −31 |
| Dividends paid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Share buybacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Acquisitions | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 79 | 56 |
| Stock-based compensation | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | |||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 11 | 39 | 52 | 50 | 50 | 33 | 21 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | — | 290 | 103 | 101 | 125 | 198 | 282 |
| Total assets | — | 1,008 | 1,047 | 1,104 | 1,267 | 1,514 | 1,742 |
| Total liabilities | — | 687 | 542 | 581 | 706 | 919 | 1,116 |
| Shareholders' equity | 330 | 321 | 504 | 523 | 561 | 595 | 626 |
| Margins and ratios | |||||||
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating margin | −8.6% | −13.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Net margin | −10.4% | −14.5% | −0.3% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Free cash flow margin | −8.6% | −13.2% | 4.6% | 0.1% | 1.4% | −1.2% | −2.5% |
| Rule of 40 (growth + FCF margin) | — | −34.7% | 80.2% | 21.6% | 23.4% | 12.7% | 17.8% |
| Return on capital | — | — | 2.0% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Return on equity | — | — | −0.5% | 1.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% |
| Return on assets | — | — | −0.2% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | — | — | 0.9x | 1.0x | 0.9x | 1.7x | 2.5x |