Shake Shack
Shake Shack's revenue rose 15.4% to $1.4 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 4.3%, up from 0.2% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $57 million, up 58.5%. The diluted share count fell 5.3%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
What Shake Shack does
Shake Shack runs burger restaurants, which it calls Shacks. The menu centers on made-to-order Angus beef burgers, crispy chicken, fries, milkshakes, lemonades, beer and wine. It started as a hot dog cart in New York City's Madison Square Park and opened its first Shack there in 2004. Guests order in the Shack, at kiosks, through its app and website, or for delivery through services such as Uber Eats and DoorDash.
At the end of 2025 there were 659 Shacks: 373 run by the company and 286 run by licensees, including Shacks in London, Hong Kong, Tokyo, Seoul and Dubai. Sales at its own Shacks made up 96.3% of revenue in 2025. The rest is licensing revenue: fees and sales-based royalties from partners that run licensed Shacks. Shake Shack says it competes with other fast casual, quick service and casual dining restaurants, and also with grocery stores and meal subscription services.
The company had 13,873 team members at the end of 2025, most of them hourly workers and Shack managers. In 2025 it opened 45 new company-run Shacks, and it says it has a target of about 1,500 company-run Shacks. A new Shack cost about $2.3 million on average to build in 2025.
Its biggest risks, as it describes them
- Its growth depends on finding good locations and opening new Shacks on time and on good terms.
- New Shacks may not make money and may take sales from its existing Shacks.
- It relies on a few suppliers and one national distributor for most of its U.S. deliveries.
- It has limited control over licensed Shacks, which could hurt its reputation.
- Rising labor and food costs, and trouble hiring and keeping enough team members.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2016 to 2025, earnings per share grew 8.3% a year and net income 15.6% a year, as new shares raised the share count by 79% and diluted each share's earnings.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value Shake Shack yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Shake Shack's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Shake Shack's cash from operations minus depreciation in fiscal 2025 (free cash flow before spending to grow: capital spending was 1.6 times depreciation, which holds its free cash flow down) of $116M, net cash of $97M at December 31, 2025 and 42 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Shake Shack: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 17.1% a year; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 11%: 9% for a business of moderate risk (Restaurants), plus 1 point as a smaller company, worth $2.7B, plus 1 point for unsteady results (a loss in fiscal 2022); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $64.89
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
- —
- Everything after year 10, valued today
- —
- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Shake Shack's earnings per share of $0.95 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 44.7×, the middle of Shake Shack's own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (its peers' median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 12%, 11% and 10%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $64.89
- Value at this multiple, against the last close
- —
- Shake Shack's P/E at the last close
- 68.3×
| Company | Last close | Earnings per share | P/E today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cava GroupCAVA | $51.53 | $0.55 | 93.7× |
| Shake ShackSHAK | $64.89 | $0.95 | 68.3× |
| Dutch BrosBROS | $42.02 | $0.72 | 58.4× |
| BJ's RestaurantsBJRI | $57.91 | $1.87 | 31.0× |
| Papa John'sPZZA | $18.23 | $0.79 | 23.1× |
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 382 | 311 | 293 | 321 | 360 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 251 | 251 | 258 | 259 | 263 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | −132 | −60 | −35 | −61 | −97 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | −3.1x | −1.3x | −0.4x | −0.6x | −0.6x |
| Debt to equity | 0.6x | 0.6x | 0.6x | 0.6x | 0.5x |
| Interest coverage | −10.1x | −17.7x | 3.5x | 1.5x | 28.9x |
| Current ratio | 3.4x | 2.3x | 2.0x | 2.0x | 1.8x |
| Quick ratio | 3.3x | 2.3x | 2.0x | 1.9x | 1.7x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, 6 insiders bought $3.2 million of Shake Shack shares on the open market, and 1 insider sold $178,081, all of it under trading plans set up in advance.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Daniel Harris MeyerDirector, 10% owner | Bought | 32,258 | $61.88 | $2.0 million | Form 4 |
| May 15, 2026 | Josh SilvermanDirector | Bought | 8,290 | $60.38 | $500,551 | Form 4 |
| May 15, 2026 | Robert LynchChief Executive Officer, Director | Bought | 5,000 | $60.39 | $301,950 | Form 4 |
| May 15, 2026 | Sumaiya BalbaleDirector | Bought | 4,068 | $61.42 | $249,857 | Form 4 |
| May 15, 2026 | Charles J Chapman IIIDirector | Bought | 2,000 | $61.36 | $122,726 | Form 4 |
| May 15, 2026 | Jeffrey FlugDirector, 10% owner | Bought | 1,000 | $61.30 | $61,300 | Form 4 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Stephanie Ann SentellChief Operations Officer | Sold plan | 258 | $102.21 | $26,370 | Form 4 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Stephanie Ann SentellChief Operations Officer | Sold plan | 225 | $93.60 | $21,060 | Form 4 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Stephanie Ann SentellChief Operations Officer | Sold plan | 200 | $99.19 | $19,838 | Form 4 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Stephanie Ann SentellChief Operations Officer | Sold plan | 200 | $85.78 | $17,156 | Form 4 |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Stephanie Ann SentellChief Operations Officer | Sold plan | 1,100 | $85.14 | $93,657 | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Pass | Fail | Pass |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Current ratio rose | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Share count didn't rise | Fail | Fail | Pass |
| Gross margin rose | — | — | — |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| F-score | 6 of 8 | 5 of 8 | 7 of 8 |
| Accruals ratio | −7.2% | −9.8% | −9.8% |
Compare
Put Shake Shack side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shake Shack | FY25 | 15.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 9.6% | −0.6x | 7 | |
| BJ's Restaurants | FY25 | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 11.1% | 0.5x | 7 | Compare |
| Dutch Bros | FY25 | 27.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 11.9% | 1.3x | 5 | Compare |
| Cava Group | FY25 | 22.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 13.9% | −3.0x | 4 | Compare |
| Papa John's | FY25 | −0.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 19.3% | 4.0x | 4 | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 268 | 359 | 459 | 594 | 523 | 740 | 900 | 1,088 | 1,253 | 1,445 |
| Revenue growth | 40.9% | 33.6% | 28.0% | 29.4% | −12.1% | 41.5% | 21.7% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 15.4% |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Research and development | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | 28 | 34 | 32 | 26 | −44 | −16 | −27 | 6 | 3 | 62 |
| Net income | 12 | −0 | 15 | 20 | −42 | −5 | −21 | 20 | 10 | 46 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | 0.53 | −0.01 | 0.52 | 0.61 | −1.14 | −0.12 | −0.54 | 0.48 | 0.24 | 1.09 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 23 | 26 | 29 | 32 | 37 | 39 | 39 | 44 | 44 | 42 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 54 | 71 | 85 | 90 | 37 | 58 | 77 | 132 | 171 | 222 |
| Capital expenditure | 54 | 62 | 88 | 106 | 69 | 102 | 143 | 146 | 136 | 166 |
| Free cash flow | −0 | 9 | −2 | −17 | −32 | −43 | −66 | −14 | 36 | 57 |
| Dividends paid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Share buybacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Acquisitions | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stock-based compensation | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 20 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 74 | 84 | 87 | 74 | 184 | 382 | 311 | 293 | 321 | 360 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 251 | 251 | 258 | 259 | 263 |
| Total assets | 538 | 471 | 610 | 968 | 1,145 | 1,472 | 1,512 | 1,606 | 1,697 | 1,896 |
| Total liabilities | 337 | 246 | 337 | 646 | 711 | 1,022 | 1,075 | 1,136 | 1,203 | 1,342 |
| Shareholders' equity | 152 | 170 | 226 | 299 | 407 | 410 | 412 | 443 | 470 | 525 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating margin | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | −8.4% | −2.1% | −3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 4.3% |
| Net margin | 4.6% | −0.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | −8.1% | −0.6% | −2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 3.2% |
| Free cash flow margin | −0.1% | 2.6% | −0.5% | −2.8% | −6.1% | −5.8% | −7.3% | −1.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% |
| Return on capital | 20.2% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.2% | −13.3% | −4.3% | −6.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 9.6% |
| Return on equity | 9.8% | −0.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | −11.9% | −1.1% | −5.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 9.2% |
| Return on assets | 2.7% | −0.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | −4.0% | −0.3% | −1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.5% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | −1.7x | −1.5x | −1.4x | −1.0x | −36.2x | −3.1x | −1.3x | −0.4x | −0.6x | −0.6x |