Dutch Bros
Dutch Bros' revenue rose 27.9% to $1.6 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 9.8%, up from 8.3% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $54 million, up 120.3%. The diluted share count rose 20.8%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
What Dutch Bros does
Dutch Bros operates and franchises drive-thru shops that sell hand-crafted hot, iced and blended drinks, plus a few food items. It was founded in 1992 in Grants Pass, Oregon. As of December 31, 2025, it had 1,136 shops in 25 states: 811 run by the company and 325 run by franchisees. Employees who make the drinks are called broistas.
Coffee-based drinks are about 50% of its sales, and its own Dutch Bros Rebel energy drink is about 25%. The rest is teas, lemonades, smoothies and sodas. Customers can customize drinks with flavors, protein milk, boba and other add-ins. The company imports and roasts its own coffee beans, in Grants Pass, Oregon and Melissa, Texas.
Its Dutch Rewards app-based loyalty program is a major sales channel: approximately 72% of all transactions in 2025 came from members. Customers can also order ahead in the app and pick up at a walk-up window or in the drive-thru. Dutch Bros says it competes with other coffee shops, quick-service restaurants and convenience shops, including coffee delivery options.
Its biggest risks, as it describes them
- Changes in consumer tastes and spending, and intense competition from coffee shops, quick-service restaurants and delivery options.
- New shops that may not be profitable or may close, and trouble managing its fast growth.
- Reliance on franchise partners, over whom it has limited control.
- Its shops are concentrated in the Western United States, so regional conditions matter more.
- Supply chain interruptions and higher costs or limited supply of arabica coffee beans, dairy and other commodities.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2023 to 2025, earnings per share grew 361.9% a year and net income 585.1% a year, as new shares raised the share count by 103% and diluted each share's earnings.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value Dutch Bros yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Dutch Bros' 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Dutch Bros' cash from operations minus depreciation in fiscal 2025 (free cash flow before spending to grow: capital spending was 2.1 times depreciation, which holds its free cash flow down) of $180M, net cash of −$353M at December 31, 2025 and 126 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Dutch Bros: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 30.4% a year, kept between 0% and 20%; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 11%: 9% for a business of moderate risk (Restaurants), plus 1 point as a smaller company, worth $5.7B, plus 1 point for unsteady results (a loss in fiscal 2022); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $42.02
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
- —
- Everything after year 10, valued today
- —
- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Dutch Bros' earnings per share of $0.72 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 31×, the middle of Dutch Bros' own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (its peers' median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 12%, 11% and 10%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $42.02
- Value at this multiple, against the last close
- —
- Dutch Bros' P/E at the last close
- 58.4×
| Company | Last close | Earnings per share | P/E today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shake ShackSHAK | $64.89 | $0.95 | 68.3× |
| Dutch BrosBROS | $42.02 | $0.72 | 58.4× |
| BJ's RestaurantsBJRI | $57.91 | $1.87 | 31.0× |
| Papa John'sPZZA | $18.23 | $0.79 | 23.1× |
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 18 | 20 | 134 | 293 | 269 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 4 | 345 | 476 | 621 | 622 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | −15 | 325 | 343 | 327 | 353 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | — | 7.7x | 3.0x | 1.6x | 1.3x |
| Debt to equity | 0.0x | 2.7x | 1.3x | 1.1x | 0.9x |
| Interest coverage | −15.1x | −0.1x | 1.3x | 2.7x | 4.1x |
| Current ratio | 0.4x | 0.4x | 1.5x | 1.8x | 1.5x |
| Quick ratio | 0.3x | 0.2x | 1.1x | 1.6x | 1.3x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, 1 insider bought $205,480 of Dutch Bros shares on the open market, and 4 insiders sold $646.0 million, all of it under trading plans set up in advance.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Travis BoersmaExecutive Chairman of Board, Director, 10% owner | Sold plan | 145,687 | $44.01 | $6.4 million | Form 4 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | DM Trust Aggregator LLC10% owner | Sold plan | 94,978 | $44.01 | $4.2 million | Form 4 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | DM Individual Aggregator LLC10% owner | Sold plan | 50,709 | $44.01 | $2.2 million | Form 4 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Todd Allan PenegorDirector | Bought | 2,000 | $51.56 | $103,120 | Form 4 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Travis BoersmaExecutive Chairman of Board, Director, 10% owner | Sold plan | 750,000 | $63.02 | $47.3 million | Form 4 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | DM Trust Aggregator LLC10% owner | Sold plan | 488,945 | $63.02 | $30.8 million | Form 4 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | DM Individual Aggregator LLC10% owner | Sold plan | 261,055 | $63.02 | $16.5 million | Form 4 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Travis BoersmaExecutive Chairman of Board, Director, 10% owner | Sold plan | 749,999 | $60.39 | $45.3 million | Form 4 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | DM Trust Aggregator LLC10% owner | Sold plan | 488,945 | $60.39 | $29.5 million | Form 4 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | DM Individual Aggregator LLC10% owner | Sold plan | 261,054 | $60.38 | $15.8 million | Form 4 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Christine BaroneCEO and President, Director | Sold plan | 42,031 | $60.13 | $2.5 million | Form 4 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Travis BoersmaExecutive Chairman of Board, Director, 10% owner | Sold plan | 447,299 | $58.26 | $26.1 million | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Pass | Fail | Pass |
| Current ratio rose | Pass | Pass | Fail |
| Share count didn't rise | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Gross margin rose | Pass | Pass | Fail |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| F-score | 7 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 9 |
| Accruals ratio | −9.4% | −9.9% | −7.8% |
Compare
Put Dutch Bros side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dutch Bros | FY25 | 27.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 11.9% | 1.3x | 5 | |
| Shake Shack | FY25 | 15.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 9.6% | −0.6x | 7 | Compare |
| BJ's Restaurants | FY25 | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 11.1% | 0.5x | 7 | Compare |
| Papa John's | FY25 | −0.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 19.3% | 4.0x | 4 | Compare |
| Dave & Buster's | FY25 | −1.4% | 4.1% | −4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3x | 6 | Compare |
7 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||
| Revenue | 238 | 327 | 498 | 739 | 966 | 1,281 | 1,638 |
| Revenue growth | — | 37.4% | 52.1% | 48.4% | 30.7% | 32.6% | 27.9% |
| Gross profit | 96 | 116 | 153 | 181 | 251 | 340 | 424 |
| Research and development | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | 30 | 11 | −111 | −3 | 46 | 106 | 161 |
| Net income | 0 | 0 | −13 | −5 | 2 | 35 | 80 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | — | — | −0.28 | −0.09 | 0.03 | 0.34 | 0.64 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | — | — | 46 | 52 | 62 | 104 | 126 |
| Cash flow | |||||||
| Cash from operations | 57 | 54 | 80 | 60 | 140 | 246 | 296 |
| Capital expenditure | 40 | 41 | 118 | 188 | 228 | 222 | 241 |
| Free cash flow | 17 | 13 | −38 | −128 | −89 | 25 | 54 |
| Dividends paid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Share buybacks | 0 | 0 | 288 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Acquisitions | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stock-based compensation | 7 | 35 | 158 | 42 | 39 | 12 | 18 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | |||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 16 | 32 | 18 | 20 | 134 | 293 | 269 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | — | 28 | 4 | 345 | 476 | 621 | 622 |
| Total assets | — | 260 | 554 | 1,186 | 1,764 | 2,501 | 3,009 |
| Total liabilities | — | 184 | 340 | 934 | 1,088 | 1,737 | 2,111 |
| Shareholders' equity | — | 76 | 94 | 129 | 364 | 537 | 681 |
| Margins and ratios | |||||||
| Gross margin | 40.3% | 35.4% | 30.8% | 24.5% | 26.0% | 26.6% | 25.9% |
| Operating margin | 12.7% | 3.4% | −22.3% | −0.3% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% |
| Net margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | −2.5% | −0.6% | 0.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% |
| Free cash flow margin | 7.2% | 4.0% | −7.7% | −17.3% | −9.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% |
| Return on capital | — | — | −64.4% | −0.5% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 11.9% |
| Return on equity | — | — | −14.9% | −4.2% | 0.7% | 7.8% | 13.1% |
| Return on assets | — | — | −3.1% | −0.6% | 0.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | — | −0.1x | — | 7.7x | 3.0x | 1.6x | 1.3x |