Hilton Grand Vacations
Hilton Grand Vacations' revenue rose 1.3% to $5.0 billion in fiscal 2025. Its net margin was 1.6%, up from 0.9% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $230 million, down 13.9%. It paid out $600 million in dividends and buybacks, 261% of free cash flow. The diluted share count fell 11.2%.
Net margin is net income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2016 to 2025, earnings per share fell 6.9% a year and net income 7.8% a year, while buybacks cut the share count by 8%.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value Hilton Grand Vacations yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Hilton Grand Vacations' 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Hilton Grand Vacations' fiscal 2025 free cash flow of $230M, net cash of −$4.3B at December 31, 2025 and 92 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Hilton Grand Vacations: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 9.6% a year; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 12%: 11% for a cyclical or higher-risk business (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines), plus 1 point as a smaller company, worth $2.9B; the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target. A negative value means Hilton Grand Vacations' net debt is larger than what that scenario's cash flows are worth today.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $35.72
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
- —
- Everything after year 10, valued today
- —
- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Hilton Grand Vacations' earnings per share of $1.75 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 19×, the average of the Consumer Discretionary median and Hilton Grand Vacations' own P/E today for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 13%, 12% and 11%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $35.72
- Value at this multiple, against the last close
- —
- Hilton Grand Vacations' P/E at the last close
- 20.4×
| Company | Last close | Earnings per share | P/E today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hilton Grand VacationsHGV | $35.72 | $1.75 | 20.4× |
| Travel + LeisureTNL | $65.62 | $3.70 | 17.7× |
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 432 | 223 | 589 | 328 | 239 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 2,913 | 2,651 | 3,049 | 4,601 | 4,545 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | 2,481 | 2,428 | 2,460 | 4,273 | 4,306 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 5.0x | 2.8x | 2.9x | 5.8x | 5.7x |
| Debt to equity | 1.5x | 1.2x | 1.4x | 2.6x | 3.5x |
| Interest coverage | 3.6x | 4.4x | 3.5x | 1.4x | 1.6x |
| Current ratio | — | — | — | — | — |
| Quick ratio | — | — | — | — | — |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, no insider bought Hilton Grand Vacations shares on the open market, and 3 insiders sold $14.1 million.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Charles R. Corbin Jr.See Remarks | Sold | 20,691 | $46.90 | $970,408 | Form 4 |
| May 28, 2026 | Mark D WangSee Remarks, Director | Sold | 190,813 | $51.93 | $9.9 million | Form 4 |
| May 21, 2026 | Charles R. Corbin Jr.See Remarks | Sold | 32,907 | $47.66 | $1.6 million | Form 4 |
| May 19, 2026 | Carlos HernandezSee Remarks | Sold | 5,595 | $46.69 | $261,231 | Form 4 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Carlos HernandezSee Remarks | Sold | 2,867 | $39.99 | $114,651 | Form 4 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Charles R. Corbin Jr.See Remarks | Sold | 30,426 | $41.81 | $1.3 million | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Fail | Fail | Pass |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Fail | Pass | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Fail | Fail | Pass |
| Current ratio rose | — | — | — |
| Share count didn't rise | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Gross margin rose | — | — | — |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Pass | Pass | Fail |
| F-score | — | — | — |
| Accruals ratio | 0.0% | −2.6% | −1.9% |
Compare
Put Hilton Grand Vacations side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilton Grand Vacations | FY25 | 1.3% | — | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7x | — | |
| Marriott Vacations Worldwide | FY25 | 1.3% | — | −0.6% | — | — | — | Compare |
| IHG Hotels & Resorts | FY25 | 5.4% | 23.1% | 16.8% | — | 2.4x | 8 | Compare |
| Travel + Leisure | FY25 | 4.1% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 7.9x | — | Compare |
| Hyatt | FY25 | 6.8% | — | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8x | 4 | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 1,583 | 1,711 | 1,999 | 1,838 | 894 | 2,335 | 3,835 | 3,978 | 4,981 | 5,047 |
| Revenue growth | 7.3% | 8.1% | 16.8% | −8.1% | −51.4% | 161.2% | 64.2% | 3.7% | 25.2% | 1.3% |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Research and development | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net income | 168 | 327 | 298 | 216 | −201 | 176 | 352 | 313 | 47 | 81 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | 1.70 | 3.28 | 3.05 | 2.42 | −2.36 | 1.75 | 2.93 | 2.80 | 0.45 | 0.89 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 99 | 100 | 98 | 89 | 85 | 101 | 120 | 112 | 103 | 92 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 182 | 356 | −164 | 143 | 79 | 168 | 747 | 312 | 309 | 300 |
| Capital expenditure | 26 | 35 | 44 | 37 | 8 | 18 | 58 | 31 | 42 | 70 |
| Free cash flow | 156 | 321 | −208 | 106 | 71 | 150 | 689 | 281 | 267 | 230 |
| Dividends paid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Share buybacks | 0 | 0 | 183 | 283 | 10 | 0 | 272 | 368 | 432 | 600 |
| Acquisitions | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,592 | 0 | 74 | 1,444 | 0 |
| Stock-based compensation | 0 | 15 | 16 | 22 | 15 | 48 | 46 | 40 | 47 | 64 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 48 | 246 | 108 | 67 | 428 | 432 | 223 | 589 | 328 | 239 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 490 | 482 | 604 | 828 | 1,159 | 2,913 | 2,651 | 3,049 | 4,601 | 4,545 |
| Total assets | 2,180 | 2,384 | 2,753 | 3,079 | 3,134 | 8,008 | 8,004 | 8,685 | 11,442 | 11,537 |
| Total liabilities | 2,013 | 1,866 | 2,137 | 2,509 | 2,760 | 6,020 | 5,853 | 6,570 | 9,547 | 10,097 |
| Shareholders' equity | 167 | 518 | 616 | 570 | 374 | 1,988 | 2,151 | 2,115 | 1,752 | 1,289 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin | 10.6% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 11.7% | −22.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% |
| Free cash flow margin | 9.8% | 18.8% | −10.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 18.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Return on capital | — | 49.6% | 34.3% | 20.5% | −15.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% |
| Return on equity | — | 95.4% | 52.6% | 36.4% | −42.6% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 2.4% | 5.3% |
| Return on assets | — | 14.3% | 11.6% | 7.4% | −6.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.4x | 0.6x | 1.1x | 2.1x | — | 5.0x | 2.8x | 2.9x | 5.8x | 5.7x |