Keurig Dr Pepper
Keurig Dr Pepper's revenue rose 8.2% to $16.6 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 21.5%, up from 16.9% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $1.5 billion, down 9.1%. It paid out $1.3 billion in dividends and buybacks, 84% of free cash flow. The diluted share count fell 0.4%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
What Keurig Dr Pepper does
Keurig Dr Pepper makes, markets, distributes and sells hot and cold drinks and Keurig single-serve coffee brewers in the U.S., Canada, Mexico, the Caribbean and other markets. Its brands include Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Mott's, A&W, Peñafiel, GHOST, 7UP, Snapple and Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, and it offers more than 125 owned, licensed and partner brands. It was created on July 9, 2018, by combining Keurig with DPS, a group of beverage brands built through acquisitions.
It has three segments. U.S. Refreshment Beverages makes concentrates, syrups and finished drinks and sells them to bottlers, distributors, retailers and fountain customers such as fast food restaurants. U.S. Coffee sells Keurig brewers, coffee and K-Cup pods, and also makes pods for partner brands such as Starbucks, Dunkin', Folgers and Peet's. International covers Canada, Mexico, the Caribbean and other markets. Its largest retailer, Walmart, made up approximately 16% of net sales in 2025. It names Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, Starbucks, J.M. Smucker, Kraft Heinz and Nestlé as its main competitors, though it says many are also its partners or customers.
In August 2025 it agreed to buy JDE Peet's, a coffee company whose brands include Jacobs, L'OR and Peet's. It has also announced plans to separate its beverage and coffee businesses into two independent public companies after that deal closes. It has approximately 30,600 employees, primarily in North America.
Its biggest risks, as it describes them
- Disruptions to its manufacturing, distribution or supply chain, including higher costs for ingredients and materials.
- Its dependence on third-party bottlers and distributors for a large part of its business.
- Changes in how retailers operate, or lower sales to any of its key customers.
- Losing its relationships with the outside brand owners whose drinks and pods it makes or distributes.
- The JDE Peet's deal may not close on time or at all, or may be harder and costlier to integrate than expected.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2016 to 2025, earnings per share fell 11.4% a year and net income grew 10.5% a year, as new shares raised the share count by 630% and diluted each share's earnings.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value Keurig Dr Pepper yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Keurig Dr Pepper's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Keurig Dr Pepper's fiscal 2025 free cash flow of $1.5B, net cash of −$16.0B at December 31, 2025 and 1,363 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Keurig Dr Pepper: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 5.7% a year; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 7% for a stable business (Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $34.99
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
- —
- Everything after year 10, valued today
- —
- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Keurig Dr Pepper's earnings per share of $0.99 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 24×, the middle of Keurig Dr Pepper's own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (the Consumer Staples median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 8%, 7% and 6%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $34.99
- Value at this multiple, against the last close
- —
- Keurig Dr Pepper's P/E at the last close
- 35.3×
| Company | Last close | Earnings per share | P/E today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keurig Dr PepperKDP | $34.99 | $0.99 | 35.3× |
| Coca-ColaKO | $92.70 | $3.18 | 29.2× |
| Monster BeverageMNST | $46.44 | $2.16 | 21.5× |
| PepsiCoPEP | $135.46 | $7.96 | 17.0× |
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 567 | 535 | 267 | 510 | 1,026 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 12,582 | 12,680 | 13,917 | 16,356 | 17,065 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | 12,015 | 12,145 | 13,650 | 15,846 | 16,039 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 3.5x | 3.9x | 3.7x | 5.0x | 3.9x |
| Debt to equity | 0.5x | 0.5x | 0.5x | 0.7x | 0.7x |
| Interest coverage | 5.8x | 3.8x | 6.4x | 5.2x | 6.0x |
| Current ratio | 0.5x | 0.5x | 0.4x | 0.5x | 0.6x |
| Quick ratio | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.2x | 0.3x | 0.4x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, 1 insider bought $250,247 of Keurig Dr Pepper shares on the open market, and 2 insiders sold $1.4 million.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mary Beth DeNooyerChief Human Resources Officer | Sold | 12,000 | $32.30 | $387,600 | Form 4 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Mary Beth DeNooyerChief Human Resources Officer | Sold | 12,000 | $32.55 | $390,600 | Form 4 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Angela A. StephensSenior VP & Controller | Sold | 9,500 | $32.70 | $310,650 | Form 4 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Aaron E AltDirector | Bought | 7,862 | $31.83 | $250,247 | Form 4 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Angela A. StephensSenior VP & Controller | Sold | 10,000 | $29.52 | $295,200 | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Pass | Fail | Pass |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Fail | Pass | Fail |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Current ratio rose | Fail | Pass | Pass |
| Share count didn't rise | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Gross margin rose | Pass | Pass | Fail |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| F-score | 6 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 6 of 9 |
| Accruals ratio | 1.6% | −1.5% | 0.2% |
Compare
Put Keurig Dr Pepper side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keurig Dr Pepper | FY25 | 8.2% | 21.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.9x | 6 | |
| Monster Beverage | FY25 | 10.7% | 29.2% | 23.7% | 36.1% | −1.1x | 9 | Compare |
| Coca-Cola Consolidated | FY25 | 4.8% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 39.7% | 2.2x | — | Compare |
| Coca-Cola | FY25 | 1.9% | 28.7% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 2.1x | 7 | Compare |
| PepsiCo | FY25 | 2.2% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 2.6x | 6 | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 6,440 | 6,690 | 7,442 | 11,120 | 11,618 | 12,683 | 14,057 | 14,814 | 15,351 | 16,603 |
| Revenue growth | 2.5% | 3.9% | 11.2% | 49.4% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 8.2% |
| Gross profit | 3,858 | 3,995 | 3,882 | 6,342 | 6,486 | 6,977 | 7,323 | 8,080 | 8,529 | 8,999 |
| Research and development | 20 | 20 | 64 | 81 | 69 | 66 | 65 | 66 | 70 | 70 |
| Operating income | 1,433 | 1,388 | 1,237 | 2,378 | 2,480 | 2,894 | 2,605 | 3,192 | 2,591 | 3,575 |
| Net income | 847 | 1,076 | 586 | 1,254 | 1,325 | 2,146 | 1,436 | 2,181 | 1,441 | 2,079 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | 4.54 | 5.89 | 0.53 | 0.88 | 0.93 | 1.50 | 1.01 | 1.55 | 1.05 | 1.53 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 187 | 183 | 1,098 | 1,419 | 1,422 | 1,428 | 1,428 | 1,408 | 1,368 | 1,363 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 961 | 1,038 | 1,613 | 2,474 | 2,456 | 2,874 | 2,837 | 1,329 | 2,219 | 1,991 |
| Capital expenditure | 180 | 202 | 180 | 330 | 461 | 423 | 353 | 425 | 563 | 486 |
| Free cash flow | 781 | 836 | 1,433 | 2,144 | 1,995 | 2,451 | 2,484 | 904 | 1,656 | 1,505 |
| Dividends paid | 386 | 414 | 232 | 844 | 846 | 955 | 1,080 | 1,142 | 1,194 | 1,250 |
| Share buybacks | 519 | 399 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 379 | 706 | 1,110 | 9 |
| Acquisitions | 15 | 1,556 | 19,114 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,000 | 149 |
| Stock-based compensation | 45 | 36 | 35 | 64 | 85 | 88 | 52 | 116 | 98 | 97 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 1,787 | 90 | 83 | 75 | 240 | 567 | 535 | 267 | 510 | 1,026 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 4,478 | 5,098 | 15,659 | 14,730 | 13,830 | 12,582 | 12,680 | 13,917 | 16,356 | 17,065 |
| Total assets | 9,791 | 15,744 | 48,918 | 49,518 | 49,779 | 50,598 | 51,837 | 52,130 | 53,430 | 55,459 |
| Total liabilities | 7,657 | 8,081 | 26,385 | 26,261 | 25,949 | 25,626 | 26,712 | 26,454 | 29,187 | 29,943 |
| Shareholders' equity | 2,134 | 7,398 | 22,533 | 23,257 | 23,829 | 24,972 | 25,126 | 25,676 | 24,243 | 25,516 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | 59.9% | 59.7% | 52.2% | 57.0% | 55.8% | 55.0% | 52.1% | 54.5% | 55.6% | 54.2% |
| Operating margin | 22.2% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 21.4% | 21.4% | 22.8% | 18.5% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 21.5% |
| Net margin | 13.2% | 16.1% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 12.5% |
| Free cash flow margin | 12.1% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Return on capital | 20.0% | 14.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% |
| Return on equity | 39.2% | 22.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% |
| Return on assets | 9.1% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.8x | 3.4x | 9.8x | 5.1x | 4.6x | 3.5x | 3.9x | 3.7x | 5.0x | 3.9x |