The Filing Desk

Louisiana-Pacific

LPX · NYSE · Industrials · Financials, fiscal 2016 to 2025

LPX · Last close · October 26, 2026
$72.03
Value Louisiana-Pacific yourself

Louisiana-Pacific's revenue fell 7.9% to $2.7 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 7.7%, down from 18.0% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $91 million, down 78.4%. It paid out $139 million in dividends and buybacks, 153% of free cash flow. The diluted share count fell 1.4%.

LOUISIANA-PACIFIC CORPORATION Latest fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 10-K filed February 17, 2026 · 0000060519-26-000012 Updated
Revenue
$2.7B
7.9%
Operating margin
7.7%
10.3 pts
Net income
$146M
65.2%
Free cash flow
$91M
78.4%
Return on capital
9.0%
14.7 pts
Market cap
$5.0B
Oct 26 close
P/E
92.3x
On $0.78 EPS, 4 qtrs

Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.

Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.

Revenue and margins

Revenue
US$ billions, fiscal years
Margins
Percent of revenue
GrossOperatingNetFree cash flow

Net income and earnings per share

From fiscal 2016 to 2025, earnings per share grew 8.1% a year and net income fell 0.3% a year, as buybacks cut the share count by 52%.

Net income
US$ billions, fiscal years; loss years in red.
Diluted earnings per share
US$ per share, fiscal years, restated for any stock splits; loss years in red.

Returns on capital

Return on capital and on equity
Percent. Return on capital is after-tax operating income over the money invested in the business (debt plus equity, minus cash); return on equity is net income over shareholders' equity. Both use the average of opening and closing balances.
Return on capitalReturn on equity

Cash flow

Free cash flow
US$ billions. Cash from operations minus capital expenditure; negative years in red.

Payouts and share count

Dividends and buybacks
US$ billions, cash paid in each fiscal year
DividendsShare buybacks
Diluted share count
Weighted-average diluted shares, millions

Valuation

Two ways to value Louisiana-Pacific yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.

Discounted cash flow (DCF)

A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Louisiana-Pacific's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.

Value per share on three example scenarios, from Louisiana-Pacific's cash from operations minus depreciation in fiscal 2025 (free cash flow before spending to grow: capital spending was 2.1 times depreciation, which holds its free cash flow down) of $244M, net cash of −$56M at December 31, 2025 and 70 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Louisiana-Pacific: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, -11.1% a year, kept between 0% and 20%; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 11%: 9% for a business of moderate risk (Building Products), plus 1 point as a smaller company, worth $5.0B, plus 1 point for unsteady results (revenue fell in two of the last five years); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.

From the filings
Cash from operations minus depreciation in fiscal 2025: a rough guide to cash flow before spending to grow, for a company building heavily.
Cash and short-term investments minus debt and finance leases at December 31, 2025. Negative means net debt.
Weighted-average diluted shares in fiscal 2025.
Your assumptions
Start from
Fitted to Louisiana-Pacific's own revenue growth, as above. Cautious: growth of -2% then 0% a year, 2% after year 10, a 12% discount rate. Base: growth of 0% then 1% a year, 2.5% after year 10, a 11% discount rate. Optimistic: growth of 2% then 2.5% a year, 3% after year 10, a 10% discount rate.
Long-run growth forever after year 10. Usually close to inflation, and always below the discount rate.
The yearly return an investor wants for the risk. A higher rate gives a lower value.
Value per share on these assumptions
—
—
Last close, October 26, 2026
$72.03
Value on these assumptions, against the last close
—

Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
—
Everything after year 10, valued today
—
Plus net cash
—
Share of value from after year 10
—
Projected free cash flow
US$ billions. Each column is one year's projected free cash flow, split into what it is worth today and the part removed by discounting.
Value todayRemoved by discounting

How the value changes with two assumptions

Value per share in US$, with the growth rates above. The highlighted cell matches the current assumptions.
How the model works. Free cash flow grows at the first rate for five years and the second rate for five more, and each year is discounted at the discount rate. Everything after year 10 is valued as year-10 cash flow × (1 + growth after year 10) ÷ (discount rate − growth after year 10), discounted back ten years. Net cash is added and the total is divided by diluted shares. The result depends entirely on the assumptions. It is not a forecast, a price target or a recommendation. The last close is the consolidated US closing price, from Databento.

Price-to-earnings (P/E) method

Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.

Value per share on three example scenarios, from Louisiana-Pacific's earnings per share of $0.78 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 26.7×, the middle of Louisiana-Pacific's own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (the Industrials median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 12%, 11% and 10%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.

Diluted earnings per share over the four quarters to June 30, 2026, from the 10-Qs and 10-K.
P/E today is the last close divided by the latest earnings per share, the four quarters' where available. Peers: Watts Water Technologies, Advanced Drainage Systems, Simpson Manufacturing, A. O. Smith.
Starts at Louisiana-Pacific's revenue growth over the last 3 years, -11.1% a year, kept between 0% and 20%, as the base scenario does.
Earnings per share in the years ahead, US$
Type your own estimate for any year; the years after it carry on at the growth rate.
Apply the multiple to earnings
A multiple on a future year's earnings gives the price then, brought back to today at the discount rate below.
The yearly return an investor wants for the risk, as in the cash flow model.
Value per share today at this multiple
—
—
Last close, October 26, 2026
$72.03
Value at this multiple, against the last close
—
Louisiana-Pacific's P/E at the last close
92.3×
CompanyLast closeEarnings per shareP/E today
Louisiana-PacificLPX$72.03$0.7892.3×
Watts Water TechnologiesWTS$367.75$11.4532.1×
Advanced Drainage SystemsWMS$131.23$5.7922.7×
Simpson ManufacturingSSD$181.99$9.1519.9×
A. O. SmithAOS$61.91$3.6017.2×
How the P/E method works. Value per share is earnings per share times the multiple. On a future year's earnings, that gives the price in that year, which is brought back to today at the discount rate: price ÷ (1 + discount rate) for each year ahead. It is quick and easy to compare across companies, but it ignores debt and cash, and earnings can swing with one-off gains and charges, so a multiple says most about steady, profitable businesses. Like the cash flow model, the result depends entirely on the assumptions you choose. It is not a forecast, a price target or a recommendation.

Balance sheet

Fiscal year endFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Cash and short-term investments358369222340292
Debt incl. finance leases346346347348348
Net debt (negative means net cash)−12−23125856
Net debt to EBITDA−0.0x−0.0x0.3x0.0x0.2x
Debt to equity0.3x0.2x0.2x0.2x0.2x
Interest coverage115.6x89.3x16.9x37.9x12.3x
Current ratio2.5x2.5x3.0x2.9x2.8x
Quick ratio1.7x1.5x1.5x1.7x1.5x
US$ millions unless stated, at each fiscal year end. Net debt to EBITDA is debt minus cash, divided by operating income before depreciation and amortization: roughly how many years of those earnings the net debt equals. Debt to equity is debt as a multiple of shareholders' equity. Interest coverage is operating income divided by interest expense. The current ratio is current assets over current liabilities; the quick ratio leaves out inventory.

Insider trades

Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, 2 insiders bought $2.0 million of Louisiana-Pacific shares on the open market, and 2 insiders sold $15.3 million, $15.2 million of it under trading plans set up in advance.

DateInsiderTradeSharesPriceValueFiling
Jun 15, 2026Lizanne M BruceDirectorSold1,141$78.21$89,238Form 4
Mar 10, 2026Lizanne M BruceDirectorSold1,300$78.59$102,167Form 4
Feb 19, 2026Grasberger F Nicholas IIIDirectorBought20,000$85.49$1.7 millionForm 4
Feb 18, 2026William Bradley SouthernChief Executive Officer, DirectorSold plan14,166$87.85$1.2 millionForm 4
Feb 17, 2026William Bradley SouthernChief Executive Officer, DirectorSold plan14,166$89.29$1.3 millionForm 4
Feb 3, 2026William Bradley SouthernChief Executive Officer, DirectorSold plan21,252$88.19$1.9 millionForm 4
Feb 2, 2026William Bradley SouthernChief Executive Officer, DirectorSold plan7,080$85.16$602,933Form 4
Jan 15, 2026William Bradley SouthernChief Executive Officer, DirectorSold plan14,166$93.08$1.3 millionForm 4
Jan 14, 2026William Bradley SouthernChief Executive Officer, DirectorSold plan55,346$91.66$5.1 millionForm 4
Dec 16, 2025William Bradley SouthernChief Executive Officer, DirectorSold plan1,318$85.38$112,537Form 4
Dec 15, 2025William Bradley SouthernChief Executive Officer, DirectorSold plan42,514$86.25$3.7 millionForm 4
Nov 7, 2025Stephen E. MacadamDirectorBought3,200$78.06$249,792Form 4
Open-market purchases and sales by officers, directors and 10% owners, from their Form 4 filings with the SEC: one row per person, day and filing, at the day's average price. Grants, option exercises and shares withheld for tax aren't counted. Insiders buy and sell for many reasons, such as taxes, spreading their savings or a plan set up months earlier, so a trade on its own says little about where a company is heading. For information only, not investment advice. Insider trades at all companies

Piotroski F-score

The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.

TestFY23FY24FY25
Net income is positivePassPassPass
Cash from operations is positivePassPassPass
Return on assets roseFailPassFail
Cash from operations exceeds net incomePassPassPass
Debt fell relative to assetsPassPassPass
Current ratio rosePassFailFail
Share count didn't risePassPassPass
Gross margin roseFailPassFail
Revenue rose relative to assetsFailPassFail
F-score6 of 98 of 95 of 9
Accruals ratio−5.8%−7.4%−9.1%
The accruals ratio is net income minus cash from operations, over average total assets.

Compare

Put Louisiana-Pacific side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.

Similar companies

CompanyYearRevenue growthOperating marginFree cash flow marginReturn on capitalNet debt to EBITDAF-scoreCompare
Louisiana-PacificFY25−7.9%7.7%3.4%9.0%0.2x5
Watts Water TechnologiesFY258.3%18.4%14.6%20.5%−0.4x8Compare
Advanced Drainage SystemsFY265.0%20.3%18.7%15.8%1.9x4Compare
Simpson ManufacturingFY254.5%19.6%12.8%17.5%−0.1x8Compare
A. O. SmithFY250.3%19.0%14.3%30.7%−0.1x7Compare
Each company's latest fiscal year. Fiscal years end in different months, so the periods don't line up exactly. Free cash flow margin is free cash flow as a share of revenue. Net debt to EBITDA is explained under the balance sheet, and the F-score above.

10 years of figures

Fiscal yearFY16FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Income statement
Revenue2,2332,7342,8282,3102,3993,9153,8542,5812,9412,708
Revenue growth18.0%22.4%3.4%−18.3%3.9%63.2%−1.6%−33.0%13.9%−7.9%
Gross profit4047367443038331,9631,498593832589
Research and development——————————
Operating income210533526−206151,7341,250287530209
Net income150390395−54991,3771,086178420146
Diluted EPS (US$)1.032.662.73−0.044.4614.0913.872.465.892.08
Diluted shares (millions)1451461441231129878727170
Cash flow
Cash from operations3424745111596591,4841,144316605382
Capital expenditure12514921416371254414300183291
Free cash flow218325297−45881,2307301642291
Dividends paid007465656669697478
Share buybacks002126382001,300900021261
Acquisitions0210300008000
Stock-based compensation13109————132030
Balance sheet at fiscal year end
Cash and short-term investments659928878181535358369222340292
Debt incl. finance leases377376352349348346346347348348
Total assets2,0312,4482,5141,8352,0862,1942,3502,4372,5562,627
Total liabilities836844814834842955916880885896
Shareholders' equity1,1961,6041,7009911,2341,2351,4331,5571,6711,731
Margins and ratios
Gross margin18.1%26.9%26.3%13.1%34.7%50.1%38.9%23.0%28.3%21.8%
Operating margin9.4%19.5%18.6%−0.9%25.6%44.3%32.4%11.1%18.0%7.7%
Net margin6.7%14.3%14.0%−0.2%20.8%35.2%28.2%6.9%14.3%5.4%
Free cash flow margin9.7%11.9%10.5%−0.2%24.5%31.4%18.9%0.6%14.3%3.4%
Return on capital16.5%41.6%36.2%−1.4%44.6%116.7%72.5%13.1%23.6%9.0%
Return on equity13.5%27.9%23.9%−0.4%44.9%111.5%81.4%11.9%26.0%8.6%
Return on assets7.1%17.4%15.9%−0.2%25.4%64.3%47.8%7.4%16.8%5.6%
Net debt to EBITDA−1.3x−1.0x−0.8x1.7x−0.3x−0.0x−0.0x0.3x0.0x0.2x
US$ millions unless stated. Where a later 10-K restated a year, the latest filed figure is shown. Download all figures (CSV, US$ millions)
Source: Louisiana-Pacific's Form 10-K filings, from SEC EDGAR. For information only, not investment advice. The Filing Desk is not affiliated with Louisiana-Pacific.