Advanced Drainage Systems
Advanced Drainage Systems' revenue rose 5.0% to $3.1 billion in fiscal 2026. Its operating margin was 20.3%, down from 22.6% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $569 million, up 54.5%. It paid out $148 million in dividends and buybacks, 26% of free cash flow. The diluted share count rose 0.2%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2017 to 2026, earnings per share grew 20.8% a year and net income 23.9% a year, as new shares raised the share count by 39% and diluted each share's earnings.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value Advanced Drainage Systems yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Advanced Drainage Systems' 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Advanced Drainage Systems' fiscal 2026 free cash flow of $569M, net cash of −$1.6B at March 31, 2026 and 78 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Advanced Drainage Systems: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, -0.2% a year, kept between 0% and 20%; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 9% for a business of moderate risk (Building Products); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $131.23
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
- —
- Everything after year 10, valued today
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- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Advanced Drainage Systems' earnings per share of $5.79 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 26×, the middle of Advanced Drainage Systems' own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (its peers' median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 10%, 9% and 8%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $131.23
- Value at this multiple, against the last close
- —
- Advanced Drainage Systems' P/E at the last close
- 22.7×
| Company | Last close | Earnings per share | P/E today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana-PacificLPX | $72.03 | $0.78 | 92.3× |
| Watts Water TechnologiesWTS | $367.75 | $11.45 | 32.1× |
| Advanced Drainage SystemsWMS | $131.23 | $5.79 | 22.7× |
| Simpson ManufacturingSSD | $181.99 | $9.15 | 19.9× |
| A. O. SmithAOS | $61.91 | $3.60 | 17.2× |
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 20 | 217 | 490 | 463 | 223 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 946 | 1,337 | 1,361 | 1,433 | 1,790 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | 926 | 1,120 | 871 | 970 | 1,567 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.7x | 1.3x | 1.0x | 1.1x | 1.9x |
| Debt to equity | 1.1x | 1.6x | 1.2x | 0.9x | 1.0x |
| Interest coverage | 12.5x | 11.9x | 8.5x | 7.3x | 7.1x |
| Current ratio | 2.2x | 2.7x | 3.0x | 3.3x | 2.4x |
| Quick ratio | 1.0x | 1.5x | 1.9x | 2.1x | 1.4x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, no insider bought Advanced Drainage Systems shares on the open market, and 4 insiders sold $14.8 million.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | Robert M EversoleDirector | Sold | 10,569 | $152.82 | $1.6 million | Form 4 |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Thomas J. Waun Sr.EVP, International | Sold | 1,500 | $155.00 | $232,500 | Form 4 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Barbour D. ScottSee Remarks, Director | Sold | 80,030 | $148.95 | $11.9 million | Form 4 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Tim A MakowskiSee Remarks | Sold | 4,901 | $149.21 | $731,276 | Form 4 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Thomas J. Waun Sr.EVP, International | Sold | 1,000 | $150.00 | $150,000 | Form 4 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Thomas J. Waun Sr.EVP, International | Sold | 1,272 | $148.30 | $188,694 | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Pass | Pass | Fail |
| Current ratio rose | Pass | Pass | Fail |
| Share count didn't rise | Pass | Pass | Fail |
| Gross margin rose | Pass | Fail | Pass |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| F-score | 7 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 9 |
| Accruals ratio | −6.7% | −3.8% | −9.6% |
Compare
Put Advanced Drainage Systems side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Drainage Systems | FY26 | 5.0% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 1.9x | 4 | |
| Louisiana-Pacific | FY25 | −7.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 9.0% | 0.2x | 5 | Compare |
| Watts Water Technologies | FY25 | 8.3% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 20.5% | −0.4x | 8 | Compare |
| A. O. Smith | FY25 | 0.3% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 30.7% | −0.1x | 7 | Compare |
| Simpson Manufacturing | FY25 | 4.5% | 19.6% | 12.8% | 17.5% | −0.1x | 8 | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 1,257 | 1,330 | 1,385 | 1,674 | 1,983 | 2,769 | 3,071 | 2,874 | 2,904 | 3,050 |
| Revenue growth | −2.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 20.9% | 18.5% | 39.7% | 10.9% | −6.4% | 1.0% | 5.0% |
| Gross profit | 296 | 302 | 327 | 316 | 690 | 800 | 1,118 | 1,146 | 1,094 | 1,167 |
| Research and development | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | 76 | 88 | 129 | −95 | 344 | 412 | 719 | 732 | 657 | 619 |
| Net income | 62 | 62 | 78 | −193 | 224 | 271 | 507 | 510 | 450 | 426 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | 0.99 | 0.99 | 1.22 | −3.21 | 2.59 | 3.15 | 6.08 | 6.45 | 5.76 | 5.44 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 56 | 56 | 58 | 64 | 72 | 73 | 83 | 79 | 78 | 78 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 104 | 137 | 152 | 306 | 452 | 275 | 708 | 718 | 582 | 819 |
| Capital expenditure | 47 | 42 | 43 | 68 | 79 | 149 | 167 | 184 | 213 | 250 |
| Free cash flow | 58 | 95 | 108 | 239 | 373 | 126 | 541 | 534 | 369 | 569 |
| Dividends paid | 17 | 18 | 26 | 92 | 31 | 37 | 40 | 44 | 50 | 56 |
| Share buybacks | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 575 | 207 | 70 | 92 |
| Acquisitions | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1,089 | 0 | 49 | 48 | 0 | 237 | 991 |
| Stock-based compensation | 18 | 19 | 22 | 32 | 65 | 24 | 22 | 32 | 27 | 32 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 6 | 18 | 9 | 174 | 195 | 20 | 217 | 490 | 463 | 223 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 350 | 301 | 322 | 1,165 | 844 | 946 | 1,337 | 1,361 | 1,433 | 1,790 |
| Total assets | 1,046 | 1,043 | 1,042 | 2,370 | 2,414 | 2,650 | 2,901 | 3,269 | 3,690 | 4,506 |
| Total liabilities | 696 | 609 | 542 | 1,585 | 1,350 | 1,545 | 1,906 | 1,988 | 2,055 | 2,550 |
| Shareholders' equity | 223 | 308 | 384 | 526 | 820 | 893 | 824 | 1,153 | 1,525 | 1,859 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | 23.5% | 22.7% | 23.6% | 18.9% | 34.8% | 28.9% | 36.4% | 39.9% | 37.7% | 38.3% |
| Operating margin | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | −5.7% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 23.4% | 25.5% | 22.6% | 20.3% |
| Net margin | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | −11.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 14.0% |
| Free cash flow margin | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 4.5% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 18.7% |
| Return on capital | 8.4% | 12.6% | 14.3% | −6.7% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 29.2% | 27.9% | 21.9% | 15.8% |
| Return on equity | 30.2% | 23.4% | 22.5% | −42.5% | 33.3% | 31.7% | 59.1% | 51.6% | 33.6% | 25.2% |
| Return on assets | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | −11.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.3x | 1.9x | 1.7x | — | 1.6x | 1.7x | 1.3x | 1.0x | 1.1x | 1.9x |