Murphy Oil
Murphy Oil's revenue fell 10.2% to $2.7 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 11.1%, down from 19.9% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $227 million, down 72.6%. It paid out $289 million in dividends and buybacks, 127% of free cash flow. The diluted share count fell 4.6%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2018 to 2025, earnings per share fell 15.6% a year and net income 17.8% a year, while buybacks cut the share count by 17%.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value Murphy Oil yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Murphy Oil's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Murphy Oil's fiscal 2025 free cash flow of $227M, net cash of −$908M at December 31, 2025 and 144 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Murphy Oil: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, -11.6% a year, kept between 0% and 20%; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 13%: 11% for a cyclical or higher-risk business (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production), plus 1 point as a smaller company, worth $6.5B, plus 1 point for unsteady results (a loss in fiscal 2021); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $44.22
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
- —
- Everything after year 10, valued today
- —
- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Murphy Oil's earnings per share of $2.02 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 17.1×, the middle of Murphy Oil's own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (the Energy median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 14%, 13% and 12%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $44.22
- Value at this multiple, against the last close
- —
- Murphy Oil's P/E at the last close
- 21.9×
| Company | Last close | Earnings per share | P/E today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murphy OilMUR | $44.22 | $2.02 | 21.9× |
| Range ResourcesRRC | $53.56 | $3.62 | 14.8× |
| CNX ResourcesCNX | $37.66 | $6.12 | 6.2× |
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 521 | 492 | 317 | 424 | 377 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 2,466 | 1,823 | 1,329 | 1,275 | 1,285 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | 1,945 | 1,331 | 1,012 | 852 | 908 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.8x | 0.6x | 0.5x | 0.6x | 0.7x |
| Debt to equity | 0.6x | 0.4x | 0.2x | 0.2x | 0.2x |
| Interest coverage | 1.3x | 10.5x | 9.3x | 5.7x | 3.1x |
| Current ratio | 0.8x | 0.8x | 0.9x | 0.8x | 0.8x |
| Quick ratio | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.8x | 0.8x | 0.7x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, no insider bought Murphy Oil shares on the open market, and 2 insiders sold $1.9 million.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Daniel R HancheraSenior Vice President | Sold | 47,320 | $33.79 | $1.6 million | Form 4 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Maria A MartinezSenior Vice President | Sold | 8,608 | $34.93 | $300,677 | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Current ratio rose | Pass | Fail | Fail |
| Share count didn't rise | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Gross margin rose | — | — | — |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| F-score | 6 of 8 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 8 |
| Accruals ratio | −10.8% | −13.6% | −11.7% |
Compare
Put Murphy Oil side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murphy Oil | FY25 | −10.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.7x | 5 | |
| Northern Oil and Gas | FY25 | 11.2% | 9.9% | 60.8% | 3.3% | — | 7 | Compare |
| Range Resources | FY25 | 28.9% | — | 18.9% | 13.7% | 0.9x | 8 | Compare |
| SM Energy | FY25 | 17.2% | 31.7% | — | 11.1% | — | 6 | Compare |
| CNX Resources | FY25 | 76.8% | — | 23.9% | 11.8% | 1.6x | 6 | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 1,811 | 1,444 | 1,791 | 2,829 | 1,967 | 2,299 | 3,933 | 3,460 | 3,028 | 2,719 |
| Revenue growth | −38.4% | −20.3% | 24.1% | 57.9% | −30.5% | 16.9% | 71.0% | −12.0% | −12.5% | −10.2% |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Research and development | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | −389 | −26 | 216 | 445 | −1,362 | 281 | 1,587 | 1,042 | 603 | 301 |
| Net income | −276 | −312 | 411 | 1,150 | −1,149 | −74 | 965 | 662 | 407 | 104 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | −1.60 | −1.81 | 2.36 | 6.98 | −7.48 | −0.48 | 6.13 | 4.22 | 2.70 | 0.72 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 172 | 172 | 174 | 165 | 154 | 154 | 158 | 157 | 151 | 144 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 601 | 613 | 749 | 1,489 | 803 | 1,422 | 2,180 | 1,749 | 1,729 | 1,248 |
| Capital expenditure | 927 | 910 | 1,011 | 1,344 | 760 | 650 | 986 | 1,066 | 900 | 1,021 |
| Free cash flow | −326 | −297 | −262 | 145 | 43 | 772 | 1,195 | 683 | 829 | 227 |
| Dividends paid | 207 | 173 | 173 | 164 | 96 | 77 | 128 | 171 | 180 | 186 |
| Share buybacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 301 | 103 |
| Acquisitions | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stock-based compensation | 46 | 40 | 34 | 50 | 25 | 44 | 75 | 59 | 41 | 50 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 873 | 965 | 360 | 307 | 311 | 521 | 492 | 317 | 424 | 377 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 2,776 | 2,773 | 2,776 | 2,811 | 2,788 | 2,466 | 1,823 | 1,329 | 1,275 | 1,285 |
| Total assets | 10,296 | 9,861 | 11,053 | 11,718 | 10,621 | 10,305 | 10,309 | 9,767 | 9,668 | 9,833 |
| Total liabilities | 5,379 | 5,241 | 5,855 | 5,914 | 6,227 | 5,984 | 5,160 | 4,217 | 4,326 | 4,596 |
| Shareholders' equity | 4,917 | 4,620 | 4,829 | 5,468 | 4,214 | 4,157 | 4,995 | 5,363 | 5,194 | 5,118 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating margin | −21.5% | −1.8% | 12.0% | 15.7% | −69.2% | 12.2% | 40.4% | 30.1% | 19.9% | 11.1% |
| Net margin | −15.2% | −21.6% | 22.9% | 40.6% | −58.4% | −3.2% | 24.5% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 3.8% |
| Free cash flow margin | −18.0% | −20.6% | −14.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 33.6% | 30.4% | 19.7% | 27.4% | 8.4% |
| Return on capital | −4.2% | −0.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | −14.2% | 4.3% | 19.6% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| Return on equity | −5.4% | −6.5% | 8.7% | 22.3% | −23.7% | −1.8% | 21.1% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Return on assets | −2.5% | −3.1% | 3.9% | 10.1% | −10.3% | −0.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.9x | 2.5x | 2.4x | 1.6x | — | 1.8x | 0.6x | 0.5x | 0.6x | 0.7x |