NRG Energy
NRG Energy's revenue rose 9.2% to $30.7 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 6.0%, down from 8.6% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $766 million, down 58.2%. It paid out $1.7 billion in dividends and buybacks, 225% of free cash flow. The diluted share count fell 6.1%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2018 to 2025, earnings per share grew 24.4% a year and net income 18.2% a year, as buybacks cut the share count by 35%.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value NRG Energy yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from NRG Energy's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from NRG Energy's fiscal 2025 free cash flow of $766M, net cash of −$11.7B at December 31, 2025 and 199 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to NRG Energy: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, -0.9% a year, kept between 0% and 20%; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 8%: 7% for a stable business (Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders), plus 1 point for unsteady results (a loss in fiscal 2023); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target. A negative value means NRG Energy's net debt is larger than what that scenario's cash flows are worth today.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $93.61
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
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- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
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- Everything after year 10, valued today
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- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from NRG Energy's earnings per share of $3.81 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 20.6×, the middle of NRG Energy's own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (the Utilities median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 9%, 8% and 7%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $93.61
- Value at this multiple, against the last close
- —
- NRG Energy's P/E at the last close
- 24.6×
| Company | Last close | Earnings per share | P/E today |
|---|---|---|---|
| NRG EnergyNRG | $93.61 | $3.81 | 24.6× |
| SouthernSO | $92.57 | $3.91 | 23.7× |
| Duke EnergyDUK | $124.44 | $6.53 | 19.1× |
| AESAES | $15.03 | $2.62 | 5.7× |
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.7 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 8.1 | 8.1 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 16.4 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | 7.9 | 7.7 | 10.4 | 9.9 | 11.7 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.9x | 2.8x | 6.2x | 2.6x | 3.6x |
| Debt to equity | 2.2x | 2.1x | 3.8x | 4.4x | 9.8x |
| Interest coverage | 6.9x | 4.8x | 0.6x | 3.7x | 2.5x |
| Current ratio | 1.4x | 1.2x | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.6x |
| Quick ratio | 1.3x | 1.2x | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.6x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, no insider bought NRG Energy shares on the open market, and 6 insiders sold $2.7 billion, $35.9 million of it under trading plans set up in advance.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Gerald Alfred SpencerSVP & Chief Accounting Officer | Sold plan | 1,580 | $120.93 | $191,069 | Form 4 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Virginia KinneyExec VP, Chief Admin Officer | Sold plan | 11,145 | $140.64 | $1.6 million | Form 4 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Virginia KinneyExec VP, Chief Admin Officer | Sold plan | 20,000 | $127.52 | $2.6 million | Form 4 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Virginia KinneyExec VP, Chief Admin Officer | Sold plan | 5,000 | $156.65 | $783,250 | Form 4 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | David Nanus10% owner | Sold | 16,129,269 | $164.00 | $2.6 billion | Form 4 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Bruce ChungEVP & CFO | Sold plan | 12,383 | $156.55 | $1.9 million | Form 4 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Brian CurciExec VP & General Counsel | Sold plan | 46,976 | $158.84 | $7.5 million | Form 4 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Robert J GaudetteExec VP, NRG Business | Sold plan | 45,000 | $158.76 | $7.1 million | Form 4 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Bruce ChungEVP & CFO | Sold plan | 7,617 | $158.79 | $1.2 million | Form 4 |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Brian CurciExec VP & General Counsel | Sold plan | 60,580 | $161.71 | $9.8 million | Form 4 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Virginia KinneyExec VP, Chief Admin Officer | Sold plan | 20,000 | $163.82 | $3.3 million | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Fail | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Fail | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Fail | Pass | Fail |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Fail | Pass | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Current ratio rose | Fail | Fail | Pass |
| Share count didn't rise | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Gross margin rose | — | — | — |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Fail | Pass | Pass |
| F-score | 1 of 8 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 8 |
| Accruals ratio | 0.1% | −4.7% | −4.0% |
Compare
Put NRG Energy side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NRG Energy | FY25 | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 10.9% | 3.6x | 6 | |
| AES | FY25 | −0.4% | — | −13.3% | — | — | — | Compare |
| Talen Energy | FY25 | 22.0% | −3.5% | 23.5% | −1.3% | 32.4x | — | Compare |
| Duke Energy | FY25 | 5.6% | 27.2% | −5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5x | 5 | Compare |
| Southern | FY25 | 10.6% | 24.6% | −9.9% | 5.8% | 5.3x | 4 | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 8.9 | 9.1 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 27.0 | 31.5 | 28.8 | 28.1 | 30.7 |
| Revenue growth | −27.7% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | −7.4% | 196.8% | 16.9% | −8.6% | −2.4% | 9.2% |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Research and development | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | 0.0 | −0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Net income | −0.8 | −2.2 | 0.3 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | −0.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | −2.22 | −6.79 | 0.87 | 16.81 | 2.07 | 8.93 | 5.17 | −1.12 | 4.99 | 4.01 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 316 | 317 | 308 | 264 | 246 | 245 | 236 | 228 | 212 | 199 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | −0.2 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Capital expenditure | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| Free cash flow | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | −0.0 | −0.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Dividends paid | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Share buybacks | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Acquisitions | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.7 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 16.7 | 9.5 | 6.7 | 6.0 | 8.9 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 16.4 |
| Total assets | 30.7 | 23.4 | 10.6 | 12.5 | 14.9 | 23.2 | 29.1 | 26.0 | 24.0 | 29.1 |
| Total liabilities | 26.2 | 21.3 | 11.8 | 10.9 | 13.2 | 19.6 | 25.3 | 23.1 | 21.5 | 27.5 |
| Shareholders' equity | 4.4 | 2.0 | −1.2 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating margin | 0.4% | −8.2% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Net margin | −8.7% | −23.7% | 2.8% | 45.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 3.9% | −0.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Free cash flow margin | 15.3% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 0.8% | −0.0% | −2.8% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Return on capital | 0.1% | −3.8% | 12.4% | 21.1% | 10.6% | 28.2% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 14.6% | 10.9% |
| Return on equity | −15.7% | −67.1% | — | — | 30.6% | 82.8% | 32.9% | −6.0% | 41.8% | 41.5% |
| Return on assets | −2.4% | −8.0% | 1.6% | 38.3% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 4.7% | −0.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 20.4x | — | 4.4x | 3.4x | 3.2x | 1.9x | 2.8x | 6.2x | 2.6x | 3.6x |