The Filing Desk

American Airlines Group

AAL · Nasdaq · Industrials · Financials, fiscal 2016 to 2025

AAL · Last close · October 26, 2026
$12.20
Value American Airlines Group yourself

American Airlines Group's revenue rose 0.8% to $54.6 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 2.7%, down from 4.8% a year earlier. Free cash flow was −$680 million, against $1.3 billion a year earlier. The diluted share count fell 8.3%.

American Airlines Group Inc. Latest fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 10-K filed February 18, 2026 · 0000006201-26-000014 Updated
Revenue
$54.6B
0.8%
Operating margin
2.7%
2.1 pts
Net income
$111M
86.9%
Free cash flow
−$680M
$1.3B a year earlier
Return on capital
5.7%
6.7 pts
Market cap
$8.1B
Oct 26 close
P/E
—
Loss: no P/E

Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.

What American Airlines Group does

American Airlines Group is the holding company for American Airlines and its regional airline subsidiaries. Its main business is flying passengers and cargo on a scheduled network, through hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, D.C. It serves more than 350 destinations, and about 224 million passengers boarded its flights in 2025.

At the end of 2025 it flew 1,013 mainline aircraft. Regional flights, sold as American Eagle, add 567 more aircraft. These are run by its own regional airlines (Envoy, PSA and Piedmont) and by outside carriers such as Republic and SkyWest. About 57 million passengers boarded regional flights in 2025, and about 42% of them connected to or from mainline flights.

With its outside regional partners, American pays set fees to fly an agreed number of aircraft, whatever the passenger count. American keeps all the ticket and other revenue, and sets the schedules and prices. It also pays certain variable costs, such as landing fees and fuel. It has a cargo division that carries freight and mail, and is a founding member of the oneworld alliance of airlines.

Its biggest risks, as it describes them

  • A downturn in the economy that cuts demand for air travel.
  • Its high level of debt and other obligations, and its need for enough financing to operate.
  • Intense competition in the airline industry.
  • Strikes and other labor disruptions, and problems at the regional airlines and other outside providers it relies on.
  • Failures of the technology and automated systems it relies on to run its operations.
From American Airlines Group's annual report on Form 10-K, filed February 18, 2026, in our words; the 10-K has the full description and every risk factor. Updated with each new 10-K.

Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.

Revenue and margins

Revenue
US$ billions, fiscal years
Margins
Percent of revenue
GrossOperatingNetFree cash flow

Net income and earnings per share

From fiscal 2016 to 2025, earnings per share fell 30.8% a year and net income 29.5% a year, as new shares raised the share count by 19% and diluted each share's earnings.

Net income
US$ billions, fiscal years; loss years in red.
Diluted earnings per share
US$ per share, fiscal years, restated for any stock splits; loss years in red.

Returns on capital

Return on capital and on equity
Percent. Return on capital is after-tax operating income over the money invested in the business (debt plus equity, minus cash); return on equity is net income over shareholders' equity. Both use the average of opening and closing balances.
Return on capitalReturn on equity

Cash flow

Free cash flow
US$ billions. Cash from operations minus capital expenditure; negative years in red.

Payouts and share count

Dividends and buybacks
US$ billions, cash paid in each fiscal year
DividendsShare buybacks
Diluted share count
Weighted-average diluted shares, millions

Valuation

Two ways to value American Airlines Group yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.

Discounted cash flow (DCF)

A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from American Airlines Group's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.

Value per share on three example scenarios, from American Airlines Group's cash from operations minus depreciation in fiscal 2025 (free cash flow before spending to grow: capital spending was 1.7 times depreciation, which holds its free cash flow down) of $899M, net cash of −$19.4B at December 31, 2025 and 661 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to American Airlines Group: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 3.7% a year; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 13%: 11% for a cyclical or higher-risk business (Passenger Airlines), plus 1 point as a smaller company, worth $8.1B, plus 1 point for unsteady results (a loss in fiscal 2021); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target. A negative value means American Airlines Group's net debt is larger than what that scenario's cash flows are worth today.

From the filings
Cash from operations minus depreciation in fiscal 2025: a rough guide to cash flow before spending to grow, for a company building heavily.
Cash and short-term investments minus debt and finance leases at December 31, 2025. Negative means net debt.
Weighted-average diluted shares in fiscal 2025.
Your assumptions
Start from
Fitted to American Airlines Group's own revenue growth, as above. Cautious: growth of 1.5% then 2% a year, 2% after year 10, a 14% discount rate. Base: growth of 3.5% then 3% a year, 2.5% after year 10, a 13% discount rate. Optimistic: growth of 5.5% then 4% a year, 3% after year 10, a 12% discount rate.
Long-run growth forever after year 10. Usually close to inflation, and always below the discount rate.
The yearly return an investor wants for the risk. A higher rate gives a lower value.
Value per share on these assumptions
—
—
Last close, October 26, 2026
$12.20
Value on these assumptions, against the last close
—

Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
—
Everything after year 10, valued today
—
Plus net cash
—
Share of value from after year 10
—
Projected free cash flow
US$ billions. Each column is one year's projected free cash flow, split into what it is worth today and the part removed by discounting.
Value todayRemoved by discounting

How the value changes with two assumptions

Value per share in US$, with the growth rates above. The highlighted cell matches the current assumptions.
How the model works. Free cash flow grows at the first rate for five years and the second rate for five more, and each year is discounted at the discount rate. Everything after year 10 is valued as year-10 cash flow × (1 + growth after year 10) ÷ (discount rate − growth after year 10), discounted back ten years. Net cash is added and the total is divided by diluted shares. The result depends entirely on the assumptions. It is not a forecast, a price target or a recommendation. The last close is the consolidated US closing price, from Databento.

Price-to-earnings (P/E) method

Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.

The P/E method needs positive earnings, and American Airlines Group's latest diluted earnings per share were negative or zero.

Balance sheet

Fiscal year endFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Cash and short-term investments12.49.17.77.15.9
Debt incl. finance leases35.732.629.425.325.4
Net debt (negative means net cash)23.323.521.718.219.4
Net debt to EBITDA18.8x6.0x4.1x3.8x5.3x
Debt to equity—————
Interest coverage−0.6x0.8x1.4x1.4x0.8x
Current ratio0.9x0.7x0.6x0.5x0.5x
Quick ratio0.9x0.7x0.6x0.5x0.5x
US$ billions unless stated, at each fiscal year end. Net debt to EBITDA is debt minus cash, divided by operating income before depreciation and amortization: roughly how many years of those earnings the net debt equals. Debt to equity is debt as a multiple of shareholders' equity. Interest coverage is operating income divided by interest expense. The current ratio is current assets over current liabilities; the quick ratio leaves out inventory.

Insider trades

Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, no insider bought American Airlines Group shares on the open market, and 3 insiders sold $7.0 million, $3.5 million of it under trading plans set up in advance.

DateInsiderTradeSharesPriceValueFiling
Jul 31, 2026Angela OwensSVP Corporate ControllerSold40,077$15.26$611,575Form 4
Jul 31, 2026Stephen L JohnsonVice ChairSold30,000$15.29$458,700Form 4
Jul 30, 2026Stephen L JohnsonVice ChairSold30,000$15.26$457,800Form 4
Jul 29, 2026Stephen L JohnsonVice ChairSold30,000$15.01$450,300Form 4
Jul 28, 2026Angela OwensSVP Corporate ControllerSold39,168$15.34$600,837Form 4
Jul 28, 2026Stephen L JohnsonVice ChairSold30,000$15.16$454,800Form 4
Jul 27, 2026Stephen L JohnsonVice ChairSold30,000$14.67$440,100Form 4
Jun 25, 2026David SeymourEVP Chief Operating OfficerSold plan56,456$18.00$1.0 millionForm 4
Jun 24, 2026David SeymourEVP Chief Operating OfficerSold plan69,343$17.00$1.2 millionForm 4
Dec 16, 2025David SeymourEVP Chief Operating OfficerSold plan25,595$16.01$409,776Form 4
Dec 9, 2025David SeymourEVP Chief Operating OfficerSold plan62,507$15.01$938,230Form 4
Open-market purchases and sales by officers, directors and 10% owners, from their Form 4 filings with the SEC: one row per person, day and filing, at the day's average price. Grants, option exercises and shares withheld for tax aren't counted. Insiders buy and sell for many reasons, such as taxes, spreading their savings or a plan set up months earlier, so a trade on its own says little about where a company is heading. For information only, not investment advice. Insider trades at all companies

Piotroski F-score

The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.

TestFY23FY24FY25
Net income is positivePassPassPass
Cash from operations is positivePassPassPass
Return on assets rosePassPassFail
Cash from operations exceeds net incomePassPassPass
Debt fell relative to assetsPassPassFail
Current ratio roseFailFailFail
Share count didn't riseFailFailPass
Gross margin rose———
Revenue rose relative to assetsPassPassPass
F-score6 of 86 of 85 of 8
Accruals ratio−4.7%−5.0%−4.8%
The accruals ratio is net income minus cash from operations, over average total assets.

Compare

Put American Airlines Group side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.

Similar companies

CompanyYearRevenue growthOperating marginFree cash flow marginReturn on capitalNet debt to EBITDAF-scoreCompare
American Airlines GroupFY250.8%2.7%−1.2%5.7%5.3x5
United AirlinesFY253.5%8.0%4.3%15.3%1.2x6Compare
Delta Air LinesFY252.8%9.2%6.1%15.9%1.2x7Compare
Southwest AirlinesFY252.1%1.5%−3.0%3.7%0.9x7Compare
Alaska Air GroupFY2521.3%2.1%6.6%2.9%3.1x5Compare
Each company's latest fiscal year. Fiscal years end in different months, so the periods don't line up exactly. Free cash flow margin is free cash flow as a share of revenue. Net debt to EBITDA is explained under the balance sheet, and the F-score above.

10 years of figures

Fiscal yearFY16FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Income statement
Revenue40.142.644.545.817.329.949.052.854.254.6
Revenue growth−2.1%6.2%4.5%2.8%−62.1%72.4%63.9%7.8%2.7%0.8%
Gross profit——————————
Research and development——————————
Operating income5.14.22.73.1−10.4−1.11.63.02.61.5
Net income2.61.31.41.7−8.9−2.00.10.80.80.1
Diluted EPS (US$)4.652.613.033.79−18.36−3.090.191.211.240.17
Diluted shares (millions)556492466444484644655720721661
Cash flow
Cash from operations6.54.73.53.8−6.50.72.23.84.03.1
Capital expenditure5.76.03.74.32.00.22.52.62.73.8
Free cash flow0.8−1.2−0.2−0.5−8.50.5−0.41.21.3−0.7
Dividends paid0.20.20.20.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
Share buybacks4.51.60.81.10.20.00.00.00.00.0
Acquisitions0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Stock-based compensation0.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.1
Balance sheet at fiscal year end
Cash and short-term investments6.55.24.83.86.912.49.17.77.15.9
Debt incl. finance leases24.321.821.321.629.935.732.629.425.325.4
Total assets51.352.860.660.062.066.564.763.161.861.8
Total liabilities51.653.660.760.168.973.870.568.365.865.5
Shareholders' equity−0.3−0.8−0.2−0.1−6.9−7.3−5.8−5.2−4.0−3.7
Margins and ratios
Gross margin——————————
Operating margin12.6%9.9%6.0%6.7%−60.1%−3.5%3.3%5.8%4.8%2.7%
Net margin6.4%3.0%3.2%3.7%−51.2%−6.7%0.3%1.6%1.6%0.2%
Free cash flow margin2.0%−2.9%−0.5%−1.0%−49.0%1.7%−0.8%2.3%2.4%−1.2%
Return on capital16.8%12.7%12.4%13.5%−48.8%−5.2%6.5%13.0%12.5%5.7%
Return on equity96.6%—————————
Return on assets5.2%2.5%2.5%2.8%−14.6%−3.1%0.2%1.3%1.4%0.2%
Net debt to EBITDA2.6x2.6x3.3x3.1x—18.8x6.0x4.1x3.8x5.3x
US$ billions unless stated. Where a later 10-K restated a year, the latest filed figure is shown. Download all figures (CSV, US$ millions)
Source: American Airlines Group's Form 10-K filings, from SEC EDGAR. For information only, not investment advice. The Filing Desk is not affiliated with American Airlines Group.