Krispy Kreme
Krispy Kreme's revenue fell 8.6% to $1.5 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was −30.8%, down from −0.5% a year earlier. Free cash flow was −$64 million. It paid out $13 million in dividends and buybacks. The diluted share count fell 0.3%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
What Krispy Kreme does
Krispy Kreme makes and sells doughnuts in 42 countries. At the end of fiscal 2025 it had 15,194 points of access, the places where people can buy its doughnuts. It sells through three channels: its own shops (Hot Light Theater Shops and Fresh Shops), fresh delivery to grocery stores, club stores, convenience stores, restaurants and drug stores, and digital orders for pickup or delivery.
It uses a hub and spoke model. Hubs are doughnut factories and Hot Light Theater Shops, which make doughnuts and sell them on site. Spokes are Fresh Shops, kiosks and delivery doors, which sell doughnuts brought from the hubs. In the U.S., sales come from points of access that the company mostly runs itself. Abroad, they come from points run by the company and by franchise partners. Digital is its fastest-growing channel in the U.S.
In fiscal 2025 it began a turnaround plan to reduce debt and deliver profitable growth, which includes refranchising (selling company-run operations to franchisees).
Its biggest risks, as it describes them
- Food safety problems such as food-borne illness, tampering or contamination.
- Executing its turnaround plan, and getting benefits from acquisitions, sales and refranchising.
- Past impairment charges on goodwill and long-lived assets, with more possible.
- Limited influence over franchisees and subfranchisees who must keep up quality and safety.
- Changes in consumer preferences, and failures or breaches of its information technology.
Income statement
Krispy Kreme lost money in fiscal 2025: a net loss of $516 million.
Returns on capital
Balance sheet
Five years at a glance
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 39 | 35 | 38 | 29 | 42 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 717 | 779 | 891 | 901 | 978 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | 678 | 744 | 853 | 872 | 935 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 4.8x | 5.3x | 6.1x | 7.0x | — |
| Debt to equity | 0.6x | 0.7x | 0.8x | 0.8x | 1.5x |
| Interest coverage | — | — | — | — | — |
| Current ratio | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.4x | 0.4x |
| Quick ratio | 0.2x | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.3x |
Cash flow
Projections
Project Krispy Kreme's revenue, net income and earnings per share five years ahead in a bull, a base and a bear case with your own figures, and see the share prices your P/E estimates give them, or value it with a discounted cash flow model. Every projected figure is yours: it is not a forecast of ours.
What Krispy Kreme says to expect
- Full year 2026: new shops
Open at least 100 shops, nearly all of which are expected to be franchised
Insider trades
No officer, director or 10% owner of Krispy Kreme reported buying or selling its shares on the open market between November 7, 2025 and November 6, 2026.
Indicators
Four widely used measures, worked out from the company's filings. The cutoffs are the ones their authors or users go by, not a verdict of ours.
| Indicator | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-score | 3 of 8 | 5 of 8 | 4 of 8 |
| Rule of 40 | 5.7% | −5.7% | −12.8% |
| Altman Z'' | −0.31 | −0.38 | −2.61 |
| Accruals ratio | −2.6% | −1.4% | −19.4% |
The nine F-score tests
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Fail | Pass | Fail |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Fail | Pass | Fail |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Current ratio rose | Fail | Pass | Pass |
| Share count didn't rise | Fail | Fail | Pass |
| Gross margin rose | — | — | — |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Pass | Fail | Fail |
| F-score | 3 of 8 | 5 of 8 | 4 of 8 |
Compare
Put Krispy Kreme side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krispy Kreme | FY25 | −8.6% | −30.8% | −4.2% | −20.6% | — | 4 | |
| Jack in the Box | FY25 | −6.8% | −1.2% | 5.1% | −1.8% | 41.1x | 5 | Compare |
| Shake Shack | FY25 | 15.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 9.6% | −0.6x | 7 | Compare |
| Dutch Bros | FY25 | 27.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 11.9% | 1.3x | 5 | Compare |
| BJ's Restaurants | FY25 | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 11.1% | 0.5x | 7 | Compare |
7 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||
| Revenue | 959 | 1,122 | 1,384 | 1,530 | 1,686 | 1,665 | 1,523 |
| Revenue growth | — | 16.9% | 23.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | −1.2% | −8.6% |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Research and development | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | 38 | 4 | 41 | 29 | 13 | −9 | −469 |
| Net income | −37 | −64 | −24 | −16 | −38 | 3 | −516 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | −0.30 | −0.52 | −0.18 | −0.10 | −0.23 | 0.02 | −3.04 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 125 | 125 | 148 | 168 | 168 | 172 | 171 |
| Cash flow | |||||||
| Cash from operations | 81 | 29 | 141 | 140 | 46 | 46 | 34 |
| Capital expenditure | 76 | 98 | 120 | 112 | 121 | 121 | 98 |
| Free cash flow | 4 | −69 | 22 | 28 | −76 | −75 | −64 |
| Dividends paid | 3 | 0 | 48 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 12 |
| Share buybacks | 0 | 0 | 139 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| Acquisitions | 150 | 75 | 46 | 17 | 0 | 32 | 0 |
| Stock-based compensation | 11 | 12 | 23 | 18 | 24 | 35 | 13 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | |||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 35 | 38 | 39 | 35 | 38 | 29 | 42 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | — | 827 | 717 | 779 | 891 | 901 | 978 |
| Total assets | — | 3,061 | 3,145 | 3,148 | 3,241 | 3,072 | 2,593 |
| Total liabilities | — | 2,213 | 1,810 | 1,850 | 1,977 | 1,908 | 1,916 |
| Shareholders' equity | 883 | 685 | 1,232 | 1,196 | 1,170 | 1,134 | 650 |
| Margins and ratios | |||||||
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating margin | 4.0% | 0.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | −0.5% | −30.8% |
| Net margin | −3.9% | −5.7% | −1.8% | −1.0% | −2.2% | 0.2% | −33.9% |
| Free cash flow margin | 0.5% | −6.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | −4.5% | −4.5% | −4.2% |
| Rule of 40 (growth + FCF margin) | — | 10.8% | 24.9% | 12.3% | 5.7% | −5.7% | −12.8% |
| Return on capital | — | — | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | −0.2% | −20.6% |
| Return on equity | — | — | −2.6% | −1.3% | −3.2% | 0.3% | −57.8% |
| Return on assets | — | — | −0.8% | −0.5% | −1.2% | 0.1% | −18.2% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | — | 9.3x | 4.8x | 5.3x | 6.1x | 7.0x | — |