Marathon Petroleum

MPC · NYSE · Energy · Financials, fiscal 2016 to 2025

MPC · Last close · October 26, 2026

$470.64

Marathon Petroleum's revenue fell 4.4% to $132.7 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 6.2%, up from 4.9% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $4.8 billion, down 22.3%. It paid out $4.6 billion in dividends and buybacks, 97% of free cash flow. The diluted share count fell 10.3%.

Marathon Petroleum Corporation Latest fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 10-K filed February 26, 2026 · 0001510295-26-000009 Updated October 9, 2026

Revenue

$132.7B

4.4%

Operating margin

6.2%

1.4 pts

Net income

$4.0B

17.5%

Free cash flow

$4.8B

22.3%

Return on capital

13.6%

1.6 pts

Market cap

$136.5B

Oct 26 close

P/E

16.2x

On $29.04 EPS, 4 qtrs

Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.

What Marathon Petroleum does

Marathon Petroleum refines crude oil into gasoline, diesel, asphalt and other fuels and products, and moves and stores them through pipelines, terminals, barges and trucks. It says it runs one of the largest refining systems in the United States, with about 3.0 million barrels a day of crude oil refining capacity at refineries on the Gulf Coast, in the Mid-Continent and on the West Coast.

It reports three segments. Refining & Marketing refines crude oil and sells the products to wholesale customers, on the spot market, to independent operators of Marathon-branded outlets and to dealers who mainly use the ARCO brand. Midstream gathers, transports, stores and processes crude oil, refined products and natural gas, and mostly reflects MPLX, a partnership in which Marathon owned the general partner and about 64 percent of the units at the end of 2025. Renewable Diesel makes and sells diesel from renewable feedstocks.

Marathon Petroleum was spun off from Marathon Oil in 2011. It bought Andeavor in 2018, which widened its reach in the West, and sold its Speedway gas stations to 7-Eleven in 2021. It says it competes with companies that make their own feedstocks, own retail sites or have more money.

Its biggest risks, as it describes them

Volatile refining margins, which depend on factors outside its control.
Falling demand for gasoline and diesel as emissions rules, fuel efficiency and alternative-fuel vehicles spread.
Accidents and interruptions at its plants, pipelines and terminals, which carry inherent hazards.
The cost and availability of renewable identification numbers and low carbon fuel credits.
A drop in oil and gas production in the areas served by MPLX, its pipeline and processing partnership.

From Marathon Petroleum's annual report on Form 10-K, filed February 26, 2026, in our words; the 10-K has the full description and every risk factor. Updated with each new 10-K.

Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.

Revenue and margins

Revenue

US$ billions, fiscal years

Margins

Percent of revenue

GrossOperatingNetFree cash flow

Net income and earnings per share

From fiscal 2016 to 2025, earnings per share grew 22.0% a year and net income 14.7% a year, as buybacks cut the share count by 42%.

Net income

US$ billions, fiscal years; loss years in red.

Diluted earnings per share

US$ per share, fiscal years, restated for any stock splits; loss years in red.

Returns on capital

Return on capital and on equity

Percent. Return on capital is after-tax operating income over the money invested in the business (debt plus equity, minus cash); return on equity is net income over shareholders' equity. Both use the average of opening and closing balances.

Return on capitalReturn on equity

Cash flow

Free cash flow

US$ billions. Cash from operations minus capital expenditure; negative years in red.

Payouts and share count

Dividends and buybacks

US$ billions, cash paid in each fiscal year

DividendsShare buybacks

Diluted share count

Weighted-average diluted shares, millions

Valuation

Two ways to value Marathon Petroleum yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.

Discounted cash flow (DCF)

A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Marathon Petroleum's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.

Value per share on three example scenarios, from Marathon Petroleum's fiscal 2025 free cash flow of $4.8B, net cash of −$29.2B at December 31, 2025 and 306 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Marathon Petroleum: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, -9.2% a year, kept between 0% and 20%; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 12%: 11% for a cyclical or higher-risk business (Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing), plus 1 point for unsteady results (revenue fell in two of the last five years); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.

From the filings

Starting free cash flow, US$ millions

Cash from operations minus capital spending in fiscal 2025.

Net cash, US$ millions

Cash and short-term investments minus debt and finance leases at December 31, 2025. Negative means net debt.

Diluted shares, millions

Weighted-average diluted shares in fiscal 2025.

Your assumptions

Start from

Fitted to Marathon Petroleum's own revenue growth, as above. Cautious: growth of -2% then 0% a year, 2% after year 10, a 13% discount rate. Base: growth of 0% then 1% a year, 2.5% after year 10, a 12% discount rate. Optimistic: growth of 2% then 2.5% a year, 3% after year 10, a 11% discount rate.

Free cash flow growth, years 1 to 5 (% a year)

Free cash flow growth, years 6 to 10 (% a year)

Growth after year 10 (% a year)Long-run growth forever after year 10. Usually close to inflation, and always below the discount rate.

Discount rate (% a year)The yearly return an investor wants for the risk. A higher rate gives a lower value.

Value per share on these assumptions

—

Last close, October 26, 2026: $470.64
Value on these assumptions, against the last close: —

Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today: —
Everything after year 10, valued today: —
Plus net cash: —
Share of value from after year 10: —

Projected free cash flow

US$ billions. Each column is one year's projected free cash flow, split into what it is worth today and the part removed by discounting.

Value todayRemoved by discounting

How the value changes with two assumptions

Value per share in US$, with the growth rates above. The highlighted cell matches the current assumptions.

How the model works. Free cash flow grows at the first rate for five years and the second rate for five more, and each year is discounted at the discount rate. Everything after year 10 is valued as year-10 cash flow × (1 + growth after year 10) ÷ (discount rate − growth after year 10), discounted back ten years. Net cash is added and the total is divided by diluted shares. The result depends entirely on the assumptions. It is not a forecast, a price target or a recommendation. The last close is the consolidated US closing price, from Databento.

Price-to-earnings (P/E) method

Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.

Value per share on three example scenarios, from Marathon Petroleum's earnings per share of $29.04 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 16.5×, the middle of Marathon Petroleum's own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (its peers' median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 13%, 12% and 11%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.

Earnings per share, US$

Diluted earnings per share over the four quarters to June 30, 2026, from the 10-Qs and 10-K.

P/E multiple

P/E today is the last close divided by the latest earnings per share, the four quarters' where available. Peers: Phillips 66, Valero Energy, PBF Energy.

Earnings growth in the years ahead (% a year) Starts at Marathon Petroleum's revenue growth over the last 3 years, -9.2% a year, kept between 0% and 20%, as the base scenario does.

Earnings per share in the years ahead, US$

Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5

Type your own estimate for any year; the years after it carry on at the growth rate.

Apply the multiple to earnings

A multiple on a future year's earnings gives the price then, brought back to today at the discount rate below.

Discount rate (% a year) The yearly return an investor wants for the risk, as in the cash flow model.

Value per share today at this multiple

—

Last close, October 26, 2026: $470.64
Value at this multiple, against the last close: —
Marathon Petroleum's P/E at the last close: 16.2×

Company	Last close	Earnings per share	P/E today
Valero EnergyVLO	$426.76	$24.05	17.7×
Phillips 66PSX	$288.85	$17.51	16.5×
Marathon PetroleumMPC	$470.64	$29.04	16.2×
PBF EnergyPBF	$80.55	$11.33	7.1×

How the P/E method works. Value per share is earnings per share times the multiple. On a future year's earnings, that gives the price in that year, which is brought back to today at the discount rate: price ÷ (1 + discount rate) for each year ahead. It is quick and easy to compare across companies, but it ignores debt and cash, and earnings can swing with one-off gains and charges, so a multiple says most about steady, profitable businesses. Like the cash flow model, the result depends entirely on the assumptions you choose. It is not a forecast, a price target or a recommendation.

Balance sheet

Fiscal year end	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25
Cash and short-term investments	10.8	11.8	10.2	3.2	3.7
Debt incl. finance leases	25.5	26.7	27.3	27.5	32.9
Net debt (negative means net cash)	14.7	14.9	17.1	24.3	29.2
Net debt to EBITDA	1.9x	0.6x	1.0x	2.4x	2.5x
Debt to equity	1.0x	1.0x	1.1x	1.6x	1.9x
Interest coverage	3.2x	16.5x	10.9x	5.0x	5.6x
Current ratio	1.7x	1.8x	1.6x	1.2x	1.3x
Quick ratio	1.2x	1.3x	1.1x	0.7x	0.7x

US$ billions unless stated, at each fiscal year end. Net debt to EBITDA is debt minus cash, divided by operating income before depreciation and amortization: roughly how many years of those earnings the net debt equals. Debt to equity is debt as a multiple of shareholders' equity. Interest coverage is operating income divided by interest expense. The current ratio is current assets over current liabilities; the quick ratio leaves out inventory.

Insider trades

Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, no insider bought Marathon Petroleum shares on the open market, and 5 insiders sold $13.9 million, $6.2 million of it under trading plans set up in advance.

Date	Insider	Trade	Shares	Price	Value	Filing
Aug 31, 2026	Shawn M LyonSVP Log & Storage, Mplx Gp LLC	Sold	1,000	$375.75	$375,750	Form 4
Aug 28, 2026	Shawn M LyonSVP Log & Storage, Mplx Gp LLC	Sold	425	$368.51	$156,617	Form 4
Aug 27, 2026	Erin M BrzezinskiVP and Controller	Sold	570	$362.79	$206,790	Form 4
Aug 17, 2026	Molly R BensonChief Legal Ofc & Corp Sec	Sold plan	17,196	$358.57	$6.2 million	Form 4
Aug 13, 2026	Shawn M LyonSVP Log & Storage, Mplx Gp LLC	Sold	2,500	$350.00	$875,000	Form 4
Aug 12, 2026	Michael A Henschen IIEx VP, Refining	Sold	6,011	$341.56	$2.1 million	Form 4
Jun 4, 2026	Michael A Henschen IIEx VP, Refining	Sold	6,336	$268.83	$1.7 million	Form 4
May 13, 2026	Ricky D. HesslingChief Commercial Officer	Sold	1,000	$250.00	$250,000	Form 4
Mar 13, 2026	Ricky D. HesslingChief Commercial Officer	Sold	1,626	$228.18	$371,021	Form 4
Mar 12, 2026	Ricky D. HesslingChief Commercial Officer	Sold	1,037	$229.08	$237,554	Form 4
Mar 11, 2026	Ricky D. HesslingChief Commercial Officer	Sold	1,810	$224.78	$406,847	Form 4
Feb 12, 2026	Michael A Henschen IIEx VP, Refining	Sold	5,289	$202.32	$1.1 million	Form 4

Open-market purchases and sales by officers, directors and 10% owners, from their Form 4 filings with the SEC: one row per person, day and filing, at the day's average price. Grants, option exercises and shares withheld for tax aren't counted. Insiders buy and sell for many reasons, such as taxes, spreading their savings or a plan set up months earlier, so a trade on its own says little about where a company is heading. For information only, not investment advice. Insider trades at all companies

Piotroski F-score

The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.

Test	FY23	FY24	FY25
Net income is positive	Pass	Pass	Pass
Cash from operations is positive	Pass	Pass	Pass
Return on assets rose	Fail	Fail	Pass
Cash from operations exceeds net income	Pass	Pass	Pass
Debt fell relative to assets	Fail	Fail	Fail
Current ratio rose	Fail	Fail	Pass
Share count didn't rise	Pass	Pass	Pass
Gross margin rose	Fail	Fail	Pass
Revenue rose relative to assets	Fail	Fail	Pass
F-score	4 of 9	4 of 9	8 of 9
Accruals ratio	−5.0%	−6.3%	−5.2%

The accruals ratio is net income minus cash from operations, over average total assets.

Compare

Put Marathon Petroleum side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.

Similar companies

Company	Year	Revenue growth	Operating margin	Free cash flow margin	Return on capital	Net debt to EBITDA	F-score	Compare
Marathon Petroleum	FY25	−4.4%	6.2%	3.6%	13.6%	2.5x	8
Phillips 66	FY25	−7.5%	—	—	11.2%	1.9x	8	Compare
Valero Energy	FY25	−5.5%	2.6%	—	7.2%	0.9x	6	Compare
World Kinect	FY25	−12.4%	−1.5%	0.6%	−20.9%	—	5	Compare
PBF Energy	FY25	−11.4%	−0.2%	−2.7%	−0.6%	5.2x	4	Compare

Each company's latest fiscal year. Fiscal years end in different months, so the periods don't line up exactly. Free cash flow margin is free cash flow as a share of revenue. Net debt to EBITDA is explained under the balance sheet, and the F-score above.

10 years of figures

Fiscal year	FY16	FY17	FY18	FY19	FY20	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25
Income statement
Revenue	63.3	74.7	86.1	111.1	69.8	120.0	177.5	148.4	138.9	132.7
Revenue growth	−12.2%	18.1%	15.2%	29.1%	−37.2%	72.0%	47.9%	−16.4%	−6.4%	−4.4%
Gross profit	6.6	7.6	9.0	11.9	4.0	10.0	25.8	19.8	12.6	13.3
Research and development	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Operating income	2.4	4.0	4.7	4.5	−12.2	4.3	21.5	14.5	6.8	8.3
Net income	1.2	3.4	2.8	2.6	−9.8	9.7	14.5	9.7	3.4	4.0
Diluted EPS (US$)	2.21	6.70	5.28	3.97	−15.13	15.24	28.12	23.63	10.08	13.22
Diluted shares (millions)	530	512	526	664	649	638	516	409	341	306
Cash flow
Cash from operations	4.0	6.6	6.2	9.4	2.4	4.4	16.4	14.1	8.7	8.3
Capital expenditure	2.9	2.7	3.2	4.8	2.8	1.5	2.4	1.9	2.5	3.5
Free cash flow	1.1	3.9	3.0	4.6	−0.4	2.9	13.9	12.2	6.1	4.8
Dividends paid	0.7	0.8	1.0	1.4	1.5	1.5	1.3	1.3	1.2	1.1
Share buybacks	0.2	2.4	3.3	1.9	0.0	4.7	11.9	11.6	9.2	3.5
Acquisitions	0.0	0.2	3.8	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.2	0.7	3.3
Stock-based compensation	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.2
Balance sheet at fiscal year end
Cash and short-term investments	0.9	3.0	1.7	1.4	0.4	10.8	11.8	10.2	3.2	3.7
Debt incl. finance leases	10.5	12.3	27.5	28.7	31.6	25.5	26.7	27.3	27.5	32.9
Total assets	44.4	49.0	92.9	98.6	85.2	85.4	89.9	86.0	78.9	84.0
Total liabilities	23.2	27.2	47.9	55.4	54.9	51.8	54.8	54.6	54.4	59.9
Shareholders' equity	13.6	14.0	35.2	33.7	22.2	26.2	27.7	24.4	17.7	17.3
Margins and ratios
Gross margin	10.4%	10.2%	10.5%	10.7%	5.8%	8.3%	14.5%	13.3%	9.1%	10.0%
Operating margin	3.8%	5.4%	5.5%	4.0%	−17.6%	3.6%	12.1%	9.8%	4.9%	6.2%
Net margin	1.9%	4.6%	3.2%	2.4%	−14.1%	8.1%	8.2%	6.5%	2.5%	3.0%
Free cash flow margin	1.8%	5.2%	3.5%	4.2%	−0.5%	2.4%	7.9%	8.2%	4.4%	3.6%
Return on capital	5.3%	13.4%	7.4%	4.8%	−14.9%	7.2%	34.8%	24.0%	12.0%	13.6%
Return on equity	8.8%	24.9%	11.3%	7.7%	−35.2%	40.2%	53.8%	37.1%	16.4%	23.1%
Return on assets	2.7%	7.3%	3.9%	2.8%	−10.7%	11.4%	16.6%	11.0%	4.2%	5.0%
Net debt to EBITDA	2.2x	1.5x	3.8x	3.6x	—	1.9x	0.6x	1.0x	2.4x	2.5x

US$ billions unless stated. Where a later 10-K restated a year, the latest filed figure is shown. Download all figures (CSV, US$ millions)

Source: Marathon Petroleum's Form 10-K filings, from SEC EDGAR. For information only, not investment advice. The Filing Desk is not affiliated with Marathon Petroleum.