Wayfair
Wayfair's revenue rose 5.1% to $12.5 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 0.1%, up from −3.9% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $464 million, up 90.2%. The diluted share count rose 4.1%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on equity is net income as a share of shareholders' equity. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
What Wayfair does
Wayfair is an online retailer of furniture, décor, housewares and home improvement products, selling to households and to businesses. Its site offers 40 million products from about 20 thousand suppliers. It runs several brands: Wayfair, AllModern, Birch Lane, Joss & Main, Perigold (luxury) and Wayfair Professional, plus over one hundred house brands. Only the Wayfair brand sells outside the United States, in Canada, the United Kingdom and Ireland.
Wayfair earns money by selling these goods to customers. Most products ship directly from suppliers, and a growing share moves through its own warehouses and delivery network, which handles large parcels. It reports two segments, the U.S. and International. The U.S. segment accounted for 88% of net revenue in 2025. It also offers a rewards program, store credit cards and a small number of physical stores.
At the end of 2025 it operated 12 physical stores in 4 states. The 10-K says it has a history of losses. It lists competition from other online sellers and from traditional home-goods stores as a risk to its business.
Its biggest risks, as it describes them
- A history of losses, with no guarantee it can reach lasting profit and positive cash flow.
- Winning new customers and getting them to buy again at a reasonable marketing cost.
- Tariffs and trade rules that raise the cost of products sourced from other countries.
- Its reliance on suppliers and on carriers and other third parties to deliver goods.
- Its new physical stores may not meet sales or operating targets.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
Wayfair lost money in fiscal 2025: a net loss of $313 million.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value Wayfair yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Wayfair's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Wayfair's fiscal 2025 free cash flow of $464M, net cash of −$1.7B at December 31, 2025 and 128 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Wayfair: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 0.6% a year; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 10%: 9% for a business of moderate risk (Homefurnishing Retail), plus 1 point for unsteady results (a loss in fiscal 2025); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $113.05
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
- —
- Everything after year 10, valued today
- —
- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
The P/E method needs positive earnings, and Wayfair's latest diluted earnings per share were negative or zero.
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 2,399 | 1,278 | 1,351 | 1,372 | 1,542 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 3,052 | 3,137 | 3,209 | 3,118 | 3,272 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | 653 | 1,859 | 1,858 | 1,746 | 1,730 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.9x | — | — | — | 5.4x |
| Debt to equity | — | — | — | — | — |
| Interest coverage | −3.5x | −51.3x | −12.9x | −5.5x | 0.1x |
| Current ratio | 1.4x | 0.9x | 0.8x | 0.8x | 0.9x |
| Quick ratio | 1.3x | 0.9x | 0.8x | 0.8x | 0.9x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, no insider bought Wayfair shares on the open market, and 5 insiders sold $236.2 million, all of it under trading plans set up in advance.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fiona TanChief Technology Officer | Sold plan | 8,000 | $115.00 | $920,000 | Form 4 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Steven ConineDirector | Sold plan | 117,000 | $111.25 | $13.0 million | Form 4 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Niraj ShahChief Executive Officer, Director | Sold plan | 117,000 | $111.25 | $13.0 million | Form 4 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Jon BlotnerPres., Commercial & Operations | Sold plan | 546 | $110.00 | $60,060 | Form 4 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Steven ConineDirector | Sold plan | 69,000 | $105.75 | $7.3 million | Form 4 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Niraj ShahChief Executive Officer, Director | Sold plan | 69,000 | $105.75 | $7.3 million | Form 4 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Steven ConineDirector | Sold plan | 69,000 | $103.36 | $7.1 million | Form 4 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Niraj ShahChief Executive Officer, Director | Sold plan | 69,000 | $103.35 | $7.1 million | Form 4 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Jon BlotnerPres., Commercial & Operations | Sold plan | 6,968 | $100.22 | $698,333 | Form 4 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Niraj ShahChief Executive Officer, Director | Sold plan | 69,000 | $103.36 | $7.1 million | Form 4 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Steven ConineDirector | Sold plan | 69,000 | $103.36 | $7.1 million | Form 4 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Jon BlotnerPres., Commercial & Operations | Sold plan | 5,925 | $96.29 | $570,518 | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Fail | Pass | Fail |
| Current ratio rose | Fail | Fail | Pass |
| Share count didn't rise | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Gross margin rose | Pass | Fail | Pass |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| F-score | 5 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 6 of 9 |
| Accruals ratio | −30.8% | −23.3% | −24.6% |
Compare
Put Wayfair side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayfair | FY25 | 5.1% | 0.1% | 3.7% | — | 5.4x | 6 | |
| Williams-Sonoma | FY25 | 1.2% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 106.5% | −0.6x | 5 | Compare |
| RH | FY25 | 8.1% | 11.3% | 7.3% | — | — | — | Compare |
| Ulta Beauty | FY25 | 9.7% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 55.8% | −0.2x | 6 | Compare |
| Chewy | FY25 | 6.2% | 2.0% | 4.5% | — | −2.3x | 7 | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 3,380 | 4,721 | 6,779 | 9,127 | 14,145 | 13,708 | 12,218 | 12,003 | 11,851 | 12,457 |
| Revenue growth | 50.2% | 39.7% | 43.6% | 34.6% | 55.0% | −3.1% | −10.9% | −1.8% | −1.3% | 5.1% |
| Gross profit | 808 | 1,119 | 1,587 | 2,147 | 4,112 | 3,895 | 3,416 | 3,667 | 3,574 | 3,765 |
| Research and development | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | −196 | −236 | −473 | −930 | 360 | −94 | −1,384 | −813 | −461 | 17 |
| Net income | −194 | −245 | −504 | −985 | 185 | −131 | −1,331 | −738 | −492 | −313 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | −2.29 | −2.81 | −5.63 | −10.68 | 1.86 | −1.26 | −12.54 | −6.47 | −4.01 | −2.44 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 85 | 87 | 90 | 92 | 99 | 104 | 106 | 114 | 123 | 128 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 63 | 34 | 85 | −197 | 1,417 | 410 | −674 | 349 | 317 | 534 |
| Capital expenditure | 97 | 100 | 159 | 272 | 186 | 101 | 186 | 148 | 73 | 70 |
| Free cash flow | −34 | −67 | −74 | −469 | 1,231 | 309 | −860 | 201 | 244 | 464 |
| Dividends paid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Share buybacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 380 | 300 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Acquisitions | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stock-based compensation | 49 | 68 | 128 | 227 | 276 | 344 | 513 | 605 | 395 | 335 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 349 | 620 | 964 | 987 | 2,592 | 2,399 | 1,278 | 1,351 | 1,372 | 1,542 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 0 | 333 | 739 | 1,456 | 2,659 | 3,052 | 3,137 | 3,209 | 3,118 | 3,272 |
| Total assets | 762 | 1,213 | 1,891 | 2,953 | 4,570 | 4,570 | 3,580 | 3,474 | 3,459 | 3,440 |
| Total liabilities | 682 | 1,262 | 2,222 | 3,897 | 5,762 | 6,189 | 6,130 | 6,181 | 6,214 | 6,222 |
| Shareholders' equity | 79 | −48 | −331 | −944 | −1,192 | −1,619 | −2,550 | −2,707 | −2,755 | −2,782 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | 23.9% | 23.7% | 23.4% | 23.5% | 29.1% | 28.4% | 28.0% | 30.6% | 30.2% | 30.2% |
| Operating margin | −5.8% | −5.0% | −7.0% | −10.2% | 2.5% | −0.7% | −11.3% | −6.8% | −3.9% | 0.1% |
| Net margin | −5.8% | −5.2% | −7.4% | −10.8% | 1.3% | −1.0% | −10.9% | −6.2% | −4.2% | −2.5% |
| Free cash flow margin | −1.0% | −1.4% | −1.1% | −5.1% | 8.7% | 2.2% | −7.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% |
| Return on capital | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Return on equity | −120.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Return on assets | −26.7% | −24.8% | −32.5% | −40.7% | 4.9% | −2.9% | −32.7% | −20.9% | −14.2% | −9.1% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | — | — | — | — | 0.1x | 2.9x | — | — | — | 5.4x |