Ulta Beauty
Ulta Beauty's revenue rose 9.7% to $12.4 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was 12.4%, down from 13.8% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $1.1 billion, up 10.8%. It paid out $901 million in dividends and buybacks, 84% of free cash flow. The diluted share count fell 5.1%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
What Ulta Beauty does
Ulta Beauty is a specialty beauty retailer. It sells cosmetics, fragrance, skin care, hair care and wellness products, and it offers salon services. It was founded in Illinois in 1990 and says it is the largest specialty beauty retailer in the U.S. It sells through its stores and digital platforms.
Its range spans prestige, mass-market and salon brands at many price points. Its target shopper is what it calls a "beauty enthusiast," someone who is passionate about beauty and expects a good shopping experience. Outside the U.S., it owns Space NK, a retailer in the U.K. and Ireland, runs a joint venture in Mexico, and has a franchise in the Middle East.
Ulta Beauty competes in a crowded market. As of January 31, 2026 it employed about 65,000 associates in the U.S.
Its biggest risks, as it describes them
- Weak consumer spending on beauty products and salon services.
- Strong competition from other beauty sellers.
- Managing inventory badly, which could cut sales and results.
- Not meeting shoppers' merchandise needs as they change.
- Disruption at its distribution, fast fulfillment and market fulfillment centers.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2016 to 2025, earnings per share grew 16.4% a year and net income 12.2% a year, as buybacks cut the share count by 28%.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value Ulta Beauty yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Ulta Beauty's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Ulta Beauty's fiscal 2025 free cash flow of $1.1B, net cash of $432M at January 31, 2026 and 45 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Ulta Beauty: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 6.7% a year; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 9% for a business of moderate risk (Other Specialty Retail); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $625.33
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
- —
- Everything after year 10, valued today
- —
- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Ulta Beauty's earnings per share of $27.42 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 21.1×, the middle of Ulta Beauty's own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (its peers' median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 10%, 9% and 8%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $625.33
- Value at this multiple, against the last close
- —
- Ulta Beauty's P/E at the last close
- 22.8×
| Company | Last close | Earnings per share | P/E today |
|---|---|---|---|
| ChewyCHWY | $21.90 | $0.66 | 33.2× |
| WinmarkWINA | $282.29 | $11.21 | 25.2× |
| Ulta BeautyULTA | $625.33 | $27.42 | 22.8× |
| Tractor SupplyTSCO | $32.53 | $1.92 | 16.9× |
| Bath & Body WorksBBWI | $21.38 | $3.79 | 5.6× |
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 432 | 738 | 767 | 703 | 494 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | −432 | −738 | −767 | −703 | −432 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | −0.3x | −0.4x | −0.4x | −0.4x | −0.2x |
| Debt to equity | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0x |
| Interest coverage | 608.6x | 766.4x | 504.4x | 376.3x | 158.5x |
| Current ratio | 1.5x | 1.6x | 1.7x | 1.7x | 1.4x |
| Quick ratio | 0.5x | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.6x | 0.4x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, no insider bought Ulta Beauty shares on the open market, and 3 insiders sold $1.8 million.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Kecia SteelmanPresident and CEO | Sold | 2,000 | $545.88 | $1.1 million | Form 4 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Lorna NaglerDirector | Sold | 600 | $537.31 | $322,386 | Form 4 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | George R Mrkonic JrDirector | Sold | 383 | $475.84 | $182,247 | Form 4 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | George R Mrkonic JrDirector | Sold | 452 | $539.29 | $243,759 | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Current ratio rose | Pass | Fail | Fail |
| Share count didn't rise | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Gross margin rose | Fail | Fail | Pass |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Fail | Fail | Pass |
| F-score | 5 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 6 of 9 |
| Accruals ratio | −3.3% | −2.4% | −5.4% |
Compare
Put Ulta Beauty side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulta Beauty | FY25 | 9.7% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 55.8% | −0.2x | 6 | |
| Chewy | FY25 | 6.2% | 2.0% | 4.5% | — | −2.3x | 7 | Compare |
| Tractor Supply | FY25 | 4.3% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 28.5% | 0.8x | 6 | Compare |
| Bath & Body Works | FY25 | −0.2% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 47.5% | 2.1x | 5 | Compare |
| Winmark | FY25 | 5.9% | 63.4% | 52.0% | — | 0.4x | — | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 4,855 | 5,884 | 6,717 | 7,398 | 6,152 | 8,631 | 10,209 | 11,207 | 11,296 | 12,393 |
| Revenue growth | 23.7% | 21.2% | 14.1% | 10.2% | −16.8% | 40.3% | 18.3% | 9.8% | 0.8% | 9.7% |
| Gross profit | 1,747 | 2,097 | 2,409 | 2,681 | 1,949 | 3,369 | 4,044 | 4,381 | 4,387 | 4,845 |
| Research and development | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | 655 | 785 | 854 | 901 | 237 | 1,298 | 1,639 | 1,678 | 1,565 | 1,533 |
| Net income | 410 | 555 | 659 | 706 | 176 | 986 | 1,242 | 1,291 | 1,201 | 1,154 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | 6.52 | 8.96 | 10.94 | 12.15 | 3.11 | 17.98 | 24.01 | 26.03 | 25.34 | 25.64 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 63 | 62 | 60 | 58 | 57 | 55 | 52 | 50 | 47 | 45 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 634 | 779 | 956 | 1,101 | 810 | 1,059 | 1,482 | 1,476 | 1,339 | 1,503 |
| Capital expenditure | 373 | 441 | 319 | 298 | 152 | 172 | 312 | 435 | 374 | 435 |
| Free cash flow | 261 | 339 | 637 | 803 | 658 | 887 | 1,170 | 1,041 | 964 | 1,068 |
| Dividends paid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Share buybacks | 344 | 368 | 616 | 681 | 115 | 1,522 | 900 | 996 | 1,003 | 901 |
| Acquisitions | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 387 |
| Stock-based compensation | 19 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 47 | 43 | 48 | 43 | 37 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 415 | 397 | 409 | 502 | 1,046 | 432 | 738 | 767 | 703 | 494 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 |
| Total assets | 2,552 | 2,909 | 3,191 | 4,864 | 5,090 | 4,764 | 5,370 | 5,707 | 6,002 | 6,999 |
| Total liabilities | 1,002 | 1,134 | 1,371 | 2,962 | 3,090 | 3,229 | 3,411 | 3,428 | 3,513 | 4,196 |
| Shareholders' equity | 1,550 | 1,774 | 1,820 | 1,902 | 2,000 | 1,535 | 1,960 | 2,279 | 2,488 | 2,804 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | 36.0% | 35.6% | 35.9% | 36.2% | 31.7% | 39.0% | 39.6% | 39.1% | 38.8% | 39.1% |
| Operating margin | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 3.9% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.4% |
| Net margin | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% |
| Free cash flow margin | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% |
| Return on capital | 38.9% | 44.1% | 47.0% | 50.0% | 15.3% | 96.0% | 106.5% | 93.4% | 72.2% | 55.8% |
| Return on equity | 27.4% | 33.4% | 36.6% | 37.9% | 9.0% | 55.8% | 71.1% | 60.9% | 50.4% | 43.6% |
| Return on assets | 17.1% | 20.3% | 21.6% | 17.5% | 3.5% | 20.0% | 24.5% | 23.3% | 20.5% | 17.7% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | −0.5x | −0.4x | −0.4x | −0.4x | −2.0x | −0.3x | −0.4x | −0.4x | −0.4x | −0.2x |