Merck
Merck's revenue rose 1.3% to $65.0 billion in fiscal 2025. Its net margin was 28.1%, up from 26.7% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $12.4 billion, down 31.7%. It paid out $13.3 billion in dividends and buybacks, 107% of free cash flow. The diluted share count fell 1.3%.
Net margin is net income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
What Merck does
Merck is a global health care company that sells prescription medicines, vaccines and animal health products. It reports two segments, Pharmaceutical and Animal Health.
The Pharmaceutical segment sells human medicines and vaccines. It sells medicines mainly to drug wholesalers and retailers, hospitals, government agencies and managed care providers such as pharmacy benefit managers. It sells vaccines mainly to doctors, wholesalers, distributors and governments. Its cancer drug Keytruda is the largest product in the sales table the 10-K gives. Other major products include the HPV vaccine Gardasil, the diabetes drugs Januvia and Janumet, childhood vaccines such as ProQuad, M-M-R II and Varivax, and Bridion. It also books alliance revenue, its share of profits, from Lynparza and Lenvima.
The Animal Health segment makes and sells veterinary medicines, vaccines and health management services for livestock and pets, as well as digital identification and monitoring products. Its customers are veterinarians, distributors, animal producers, farmers and pet owners. Merck says it faces competition from lower-cost generic and biosimilar products and from competitors' products.
Its biggest risks, as it describes them
- Losing patent rights, and the rapid drop in sales that usually follows once a product loses market exclusivity.
- Depending on a few key products, such as Keytruda, for a large share of profits and cash flows.
- Sharply lower sales of Gardasil in China, which have reduced its business there.
- Difficulties and delays in manufacturing some products, including vaccines.
- Safety or effectiveness concerns that can arise with its medicines after they reach the market.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2016 to 2025, earnings per share grew 20.0% a year and net income 18.6% a year, as buybacks cut the share count by 10%.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value Merck yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from Merck's 10-K (or, for net cash and shares, its latest 10-Q) and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Merck's fiscal 2025 free cash flow of $12.4B, net cash of −$34.5B at December 31, 2025 and 2,507 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to Merck: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 3.1% a year; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 7% for a stable business (Pharmaceuticals); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $140.61
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
- —
- Everything after year 10, valued today
- —
- Plus net cash
- —
- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from Merck's earnings per share of $1.26 (over the last four quarters). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 39.2×, the middle of Merck's own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (its peers' median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 8%, 7% and 6%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $140.61
- Value at this multiple, against the last close
- —
- Merck's P/E at the last close
- 111.6×
| Company | Last close | Earnings per share | P/E today |
|---|---|---|---|
| MerckMRK | $140.61 | $1.26 | 111.6× |
| Eli LillyLLY | $1,279.14 | $29.80 | 42.9× |
| PfizerPFE | $29.79 | $0.76 | 39.2× |
| Bristol Myers SquibbBMY | $61.61 | $4.54 | 13.6× |
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 8.1 | 13.2 | 7.1 | 13.7 | 14.6 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 33.0 | 30.4 | 35.0 | 37.0 | 49.0 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | 24.9 | 17.3 | 27.9 | 23.3 | 34.5 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.4x | 0.8x | 4.1x | 0.9x | 1.2x |
| Debt to equity | 0.9x | 0.7x | 0.9x | 0.8x | 0.9x |
| Interest coverage | 18.2x | 18.1x | 2.6x | 16.7x | 16.5x |
| Current ratio | 1.3x | 1.5x | 1.2x | 1.4x | 1.5x |
| Quick ratio | 1.0x | 1.2x | 1.0x | 1.1x | 1.3x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, no insider bought Merck shares on the open market, and 11 insiders sold $72.0 million.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Chirfi GuindoEVP, Access, Policy & Comms | Sold | 10,000 | $135.00 | $1.4 million | Form 4 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Jennifer ZacharyEVP, General Counsel | Sold | 80,315 | $133.46 | $10.7 million | Form 4 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Richard R. DeLucaEVP&Pres, Merck Animal Heallth | Sold | 11,699 | $131.63 | $1.5 million | Form 4 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Richard R. DeLucaEVP&Pres, Merck Animal Heallth | Sold | 12,837 | $131.76 | $1.7 million | Form 4 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Richard R. DeLucaEVP&Pres, Merck Animal Heallth | Sold | 20,784 | $130.43 | $2.7 million | Form 4 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Chirfi GuindoEVP, Access, Policy & Comms | Sold | 15,000 | $131.00 | $2.0 million | Form 4 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Richard R. DeLucaEVP&Pres, Merck Animal Heallth | Sold | 6,050 | $130.37 | $788,764 | Form 4 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | David Michael WilliamsEVP,Chief Info&Digital Officer | Sold | 52,847 | $128.77 | $6.8 million | Form 4 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | David R. MaraldoEVP & Pres. MMD | Sold | 18,706 | $128.72 | $2.4 million | Form 4 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Chirfi GuindoChief Marketing Officer | Sold | 10,000 | $121.46 | $1.2 million | Form 4 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Dean Y LiExecutive VP & President, Mrl | Sold | 10,235 | $117.52 | $1.2 million | Form 4 |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Jennifer ZacharyEVP, General Counsel | Sold | 121,573 | $119.15 | $14.5 million | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Fail | Pass | Fail |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Pass | Pass | Fail |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Fail | Fail | Fail |
| Current ratio rose | Fail | Pass | Pass |
| Share count didn't rise | Fail | Pass | Pass |
| Gross margin rose | Pass | Pass | Fail |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Fail | Pass | Fail |
| F-score | 4 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 9 |
| Accruals ratio | −11.7% | −3.9% | 1.4% |
Compare
Put Merck side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merck | FY25 | 1.3% | — | 19.0% | 24.8% | 1.2x | 4 | |
| Eli Lilly | FY25 | 44.7% | — | 13.8% | 40.8% | 1.2x | 8 | Compare |
| Pfizer | FY25 | −1.6% | — | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2x | 6 | Compare |
| AstraZeneca | FY25 | 8.6% | 23.4% | 20.0% | 16.8% | — | 9 | Compare |
| Bristol Myers Squibb | FY25 | −0.2% | — | 26.6% | 15.2% | 2.4x | 8 | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY16 | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 39.8 | 40.1 | 42.3 | 39.1 | 41.5 | 48.7 | 59.3 | 60.1 | 64.2 | 65.0 |
| Revenue growth | 0.8% | 0.8% | 5.4% | −7.5% | 6.1% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 1.4% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
| Gross profit | 25.8 | 27.2 | 28.8 | 27.1 | 27.9 | 35.1 | 41.9 | 44.0 | 49.0 | 48.6 |
| Research and development | 10.3 | 10.3 | 9.8 | 9.7 | 13.4 | 12.2 | 13.5 | 30.5 | 17.9 | 15.8 |
| Operating income | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net income | 3.9 | 2.4 | 6.2 | 9.8 | 7.1 | 13.0 | 14.5 | 0.4 | 17.1 | 18.3 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | 1.41 | 0.87 | 2.32 | 3.81 | 2.78 | 5.14 | 5.71 | 0.14 | 6.74 | 7.28 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 2,787 | 2,748 | 2,679 | 2,580 | 2,541 | 2,538 | 2,542 | 2,547 | 2,541 | 2,507 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 10.4 | 6.5 | 10.9 | 13.4 | 10.3 | 13.1 | 19.1 | 13.0 | 21.5 | 16.5 |
| Capital expenditure | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 4.1 |
| Free cash flow | 8.8 | 4.6 | 8.3 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 8.7 | 14.7 | 9.1 | 18.1 | 12.4 |
| Dividends paid | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 7.0 | 7.4 | 7.8 | 8.2 |
| Share buybacks | 3.4 | 4.0 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5.1 |
| Acquisitions | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 14.3 | 8.5 | 8.9 | 10.4 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 13.2 | 7.1 | 13.7 | 14.6 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 24.6 | 24.4 | — | 24.6 | 27.7 | 33.0 | 30.4 | 35.0 | 37.0 | 49.0 |
| Total assets | 95.4 | 87.9 | 82.6 | 84.4 | 91.6 | 105.7 | 109.2 | 106.7 | 117.1 | 136.9 |
| Total liabilities | 55.1 | 53.3 | 55.8 | 58.4 | 66.2 | 67.4 | 63.1 | 69.0 | 70.7 | 84.2 |
| Shareholders' equity | 40.1 | 34.3 | 26.7 | 25.9 | 25.3 | 38.2 | 46.0 | 37.6 | 46.3 | 52.6 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | 64.8% | 67.8% | 68.1% | 69.3% | 67.2% | 72.0% | 70.6% | 73.2% | 76.3% | 74.8% |
| Operating margin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin | 9.8% | 6.0% | 14.7% | 25.2% | 17.0% | 26.8% | 24.5% | 0.6% | 26.7% | 28.1% |
| Free cash flow margin | 22.0% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 25.7% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 24.8% | 15.2% | 28.2% | 19.0% |
| Return on capital | 8.4% | 7.2% | — | — | 12.1% | 24.2% | 24.3% | 2.4% | 27.0% | 24.8% |
| Return on equity | 9.2% | 6.4% | 20.4% | 37.4% | 27.6% | 41.1% | 34.5% | 0.9% | 40.8% | 36.9% |
| Return on assets | 4.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 0.3% | 15.3% | 14.4% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 0.9x | 1.3x | — | 1.2x | 1.9x | 1.4x | 0.8x | 4.1x | 0.9x | 1.2x |