MSC Industrial Direct
MSC Industrial Direct's revenue rose 6.4% to $4.0 billion in fiscal 2026. Its operating margin was 8.0%, about the same as 8.0% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $225 million, down 6.5%. It paid out $208 million in dividends and buybacks, 93% of free cash flow. The diluted share count rose 0.2%.
Operating margin is operating income as a share of revenue. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Return on capital is after-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash. Market cap is the last closing share price times the latest diluted share count, so it is approximate. P/E is the last close divided by diluted earnings per share over the last four quarters, or the latest fiscal year where the quarters aren't available; there is none when the company made a loss.
Charts show fiscal years, from the 10-K filings.
Revenue and margins
Net income and earnings per share
From fiscal 2017 to 2026, earnings per share fell 0.2% a year and net income 0.4% a year, while buybacks cut the share count by 2%.
Returns on capital
Cash flow
Payouts and share count
Valuation
Two ways to value MSC Industrial Direct yourself, both starting from its filings: a discounted cash flow model and the price-to-earnings method.
Discounted cash flow (DCF)
A discounted cash flow (DCF) model values a business as the cash it may generate in future, discounted back to today. The starting figures come from MSC Industrial Direct's 10-K and the assumptions are yours: start from one of three example scenarios, then change any figure to see what it implies for a share, and how that compares with the last share price.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from MSC Industrial Direct's fiscal 2026 free cash flow of $225M, net cash of −$412M at August 29, 2026 and 56 million diluted shares, from its filings. The scenarios are fitted to MSC Industrial Direct: the base scenario's growth in years 1 to 5 is its revenue growth over the last 3 years, 0.0% a year; the cautious and optimistic ones are lower and higher, and growth in years 6 to 10 is halfway to the long-run rate. The base scenario's discount rate is 11%: 9% for a business of moderate risk (Trading Companies & Distributors), plus 1 point as a smaller company, worth $6.6B, plus 1 point for unsteady results (revenue fell in two of the last five years); the cautious and optimistic ones use a point more and a point less. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $118.72
- Value on these assumptions, against the last close
- —
- Cash flows in years 1 to 10, valued today
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- Everything after year 10, valued today
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- Plus net cash
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- Share of value from after year 10
How the value changes with two assumptions
Price-to-earnings (P/E) method
Another common way to value a company is to multiply its earnings per share by a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple: the number of years of today's earnings an investor pays for a share. A higher multiple usually means investors expect earnings to grow. Choose a multiple, for example from similar companies, to see the value it gives.
Value per share on three example scenarios, from MSC Industrial Direct's earnings per share of $3.98 (in fiscal 2026). Each grows earnings for a year at the cash flow scenarios' rates and applies a multiple to next year's earnings: 28×, the middle of MSC Industrial Direct's own P/E today, its peers' median and its sector's median (its peers' median) for the base scenario, 20% less and more for the cautious and optimistic ones. The price is brought back a year at 12%, 11% and 10%. Select one to load it into the calculator. These are the model's arithmetic on those assumptions, not a forecast or a price target.
- Last close, October 26, 2026
- $118.72
- Value at this multiple, against the last close
- —
- MSC Industrial Direct's P/E at the last close
- 29.8×
| Company | Last close | Earnings per share | P/E today |
|---|---|---|---|
| FastenalFAST | $52.47 | $1.23 | 42.7× |
| MSC Industrial DirectMSM | $118.72 | $3.98 | 29.8× |
| Applied Industrial TechnologiesAIT | $324.68 | $10.95 | 29.7× |
| WatscoWSO | $305.33 | $11.62 | 26.3× |
| Core & MainCNM | $42.38 | $2.43 | 17.4× |
Balance sheet
| Fiscal year end | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | 44 | 50 | 30 | 56 | 65 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 795 | 454 | 509 | 486 | 477 |
| Net debt (negative means net cash) | 751 | 404 | 479 | 430 | 412 |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.4x | 0.7x | 1.0x | 1.1x | 1.0x |
| Debt to equity | 0.6x | 0.3x | 0.4x | 0.3x | 0.3x |
| Interest coverage | 26.6x | 21.5x | 15.2x | 12.5x | 14.8x |
| Current ratio | 2.1x | 2.0x | 2.0x | 1.7x | 1.8x |
| Quick ratio | 1.1x | 0.9x | 0.9x | 0.8x | 0.8x |
Insider trades
Over the 12 months between October 27, 2025 and October 26, 2026, 3 insiders bought $18.0 million of MSC Industrial Direct shares on the open market, and 1 insider sold $156,294.
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Reuben E SloneDirector | Bought | 433 | $115.77 | $50,129 | Form 4 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Rudina SeseriDirector | Sold | 1,800 | $86.83 | $156,294 | Form 4 |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Mitchell JacobsonDirector, 10% owner | Bought | 22,870 | $84.96 | $1.9 million | Form 4 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Philip PellerDirector | Bought | 6,666 | $90.14 | $600,873 | Form 4 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Mitchell JacobsonDirector, 10% owner | Bought | 51,954 | $84.43 | $4.4 million | Form 4 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Mitchell JacobsonDirector, 10% owner | Bought | 34,073 | $84.76 | $2.9 million | Form 4 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Mitchell JacobsonDirector, 10% owner | Bought | 95,779 | $84.92 | $8.1 million | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
The F-score counts how many of nine simple tests of profitability, funding and efficiency a company passed in a year (Piotroski, 2000). The more tests passed, the stronger the year: 8 or 9 is strong, 0 to 2 weak. Companies that report no gross profit are scored on the other eight.
| Test | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Cash from operations is positive | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Return on assets rose | Fail | Fail | Pass |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| Debt fell relative to assets | Fail | Pass | Pass |
| Current ratio rose | Fail | Fail | Pass |
| Share count didn't rise | Fail | Pass | Fail |
| Gross margin rose | Pass | Fail | Pass |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | Pass | Pass | Pass |
| F-score | 5 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 8 of 9 |
| Accruals ratio | −6.1% | −5.5% | −3.4% |
Compare
Put MSC Industrial Direct side by side with any other company we cover: revenue, growth, margins, cash flow and returns, with ten years of charts.
Similar companies
| Company | Year | Revenue growth | Operating margin | Free cash flow margin | Return on capital | Net debt to EBITDA | F-score | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSC Industrial Direct | FY26 | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 13.2% | 1.0x | 8 | |
| Applied Industrial Technologies | FY26 | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 20.8% | 0.2x | 7 | Compare |
| Watsco | FY25 | −5.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 20.1% | −0.3x | 6 | Compare |
| Core & Main | FY25 | 2.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 2.1x | 7 | Compare |
| Fastenal | FY25 | 8.7% | 20.2% | 12.8% | 34.2% | −0.1x | 7 | Compare |
10 years of figures
| Fiscal year | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||||
| Revenue | 2,888 | 3,204 | 3,364 | 3,192 | 3,243 | 3,692 | 4,009 | 3,821 | 3,770 | 4,010 |
| Revenue growth | 0.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | −5.1% | 1.6% | 13.8% | 8.6% | −4.7% | −1.4% | 6.4% |
| Gross profit | 1,286 | 1,393 | 1,432 | 1,343 | 1,334 | 1,558 | 1,643 | 1,573 | 1,536 | 1,639 |
| Research and development | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | 379 | 421 | 400 | 351 | 302 | 469 | 484 | 390 | 302 | 321 |
| Net income | 231 | 329 | 289 | 251 | 217 | 340 | 343 | 259 | 199 | 223 |
| Diluted EPS (US$) | 4.05 | 5.80 | 5.20 | 4.51 | 3.87 | 6.06 | 6.11 | 4.58 | 3.57 | 3.98 |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 57 | 57 | 56 | 56 | 56 | 56 | 56 | 56 | 56 | 56 |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 247 | 340 | 328 | 397 | 224 | 246 | 700 | 411 | 334 | 306 |
| Capital expenditure | 46 | 45 | 52 | 47 | 54 | 61 | 92 | 99 | 93 | 81 |
| Free cash flow | 200 | 295 | 277 | 350 | 171 | 185 | 607 | 311 | 241 | 225 |
| Dividends paid | 102 | 125 | 146 | 166 | 167 | 167 | 177 | 187 | 190 | 194 |
| Share buybacks | 49 | 82 | 85 | 3 | 71 | 27 | 96 | 188 | 39 | 14 |
| Acquisitions | 42 | 87 | 12 | 2 | 22 | 58 | 20 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| Stock-based compensation | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 13 | 19 |
| Balance sheet at fiscal year end | ||||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | 16 | 46 | 32 | 125 | 40 | 44 | 50 | 30 | 56 | 65 |
| Debt incl. finance leases | 533 | 535 | 442 | 619 | 786 | 795 | 454 | 509 | 486 | 477 |
| Total assets | 2,099 | 2,289 | 2,311 | 2,382 | 2,462 | 2,729 | 2,544 | 2,462 | 2,462 | 2,509 |
| Total liabilities | 874 | 902 | 827 | 1,062 | 1,300 | 1,367 | 1,052 | 1,061 | 1,066 | 1,083 |
| Shareholders' equity | 1,225 | 1,387 | 1,478 | 1,315 | 1,151 | 1,350 | 1,479 | 1,392 | 1,388 | 1,426 |
| Margins and ratios | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | 44.5% | 43.5% | 42.6% | 42.1% | 41.1% | 42.2% | 41.0% | 41.2% | 40.8% | 40.9% |
| Operating margin | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Net margin | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% |
| Free cash flow margin | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| Return on capital | 14.0% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% |
| Return on equity | 19.9% | 25.2% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 27.2% | 24.3% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 15.8% |
| Return on assets | 11.1% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.2x | 1.0x | 0.9x | 1.2x | 2.0x | 1.4x | 0.7x | 1.0x | 1.1x | 1.0x |